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Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Big SkyOTHER

2025-26 Drought Profile · 23 games played · 10-21 (32%)

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks ranks 10th of 10 Big Sky teams in droughts per game (2.26 dpg, above the Big Sky average of 1.63). Their droughts average 3:59 — +0:07 above the Big Sky norm — and have allowed opponents an average of 8.3 pts per drought, contributing to 9 influenced losses (5 decisive/major) this season.

Drought Profile

Droughts/Game

2.26

Conf avg: 1.7 · #10 of 10 in Big Sky

10th in Big Sky

+0.63/game vs Big Sky avg

#10 in Big Sky (10 teams)

Avg Duration

3:59

Conf avg: 232.6 · #7 of 10 in Big Sky

+0:07 vs Big Sky avg

How long cold streaks typically last

Avg Pts Allowed

8.3

Conf avg: 7.4 · #10 of 10 in Big Sky

+1.1 pts vs Big Sky avg

Opponent points scored per drought

Game Impact

Influenced Losses

9

5 decisive/major — close losses where droughts swung the margin

Timeout Rate

27%

Coach called a timeout in 14 of 52 droughts

Record w/ 2+ Droughts

0-15

vs 10-6 in games with 0–1 droughts

Drought Trend This Season
Droughts per game over the season with a 3-game rolling average. Season average: 2.3 droughts/game.
When Droughts Happen
Shows when droughts begin in each 2-minute window throughout the game. Counts total to 52 droughts. Dashed line shows the conference average.
Half Breakdown
1st half vs 2nd half: does this team adjust at halftime or get worse?
1st Half
33
droughts · avg 4:03
2nd Half
19
droughts · avg 3:53
Drought Cost by Severity
How damaging are each tier of drought? Longer droughts allow more opponent points — see if critical ones truly hurt more.
Notable (3–4 min)
33
63% of droughts
7.1 pts allowed
Significant (4–5 min)
12
23% of droughts
9.7 pts allowed
Critical (5+ min)
7
13% of droughts
11.9 pts allowed

Avg. opponent points scored during drought

Notable (3–4 min)
7.1 pts
Significant (4–5 min)
9.7 pts
Critical (5+ min)
11.9 pts

Key Takeaway

Critical droughts allow 68% more points than notable ones (11.9 vs 7.1 pts). Longer droughts cost significantly more.

Drought-Ending Shots
What shot finally breaks the cold streak? Zone intensity = frequency.
3-PT(25%)2-PT(53%)FT(22%)
3-Ptr (13, 25%)2-Ptr (27, 53%)FT (11, 22%)
Score Differential by Game
Every game plotted over 40 minutes — positive = team leading, negative = trailing. Hover a game in the sidebar to highlight its path through the season.
Mar 7
Idaho State Bengals@ Idaho State Bengals
L 65–73
Mar 2
Montana State Bobcatsvs Montana State Bobcats
L 65–76
Feb 28
Eastern Washington Eagles@ Eastern Washington Eagles
L 57–88
Feb 26
Idaho Vandals@ Idaho Vandals
L 58–78
Feb 21
Northern Colorado Bears@ Northern Colorado Bears
L 77–78
Feb 14
Sacramento State Hornetsvs Sacramento State Hornets
W 79–74
Feb 12
Portland State Vikingsvs Portland State Vikings
L 68–77
Feb 7
Weber State Wildcats@ Weber State Wildcats
L 53–72
Feb 5
Idaho State Bengals@ Idaho State Bengals
W 79–73
Jan 31
Idaho Vandalsvs Idaho Vandals
L 62–79
Jan 29
Eastern Washington Eaglesvs Eastern Washington Eagles
W 92–86
Jan 24
Northern Colorado Bearsvs Northern Colorado Bears
W 81–77
Jan 19
Montana Grizzliesvs Montana Grizzlies
L 72–98
Jan 17
Portland State Vikings@ Portland State Vikings
L 52–63
Jan 15
Sacramento State Hornets@ Sacramento State Hornets
L 69–83
Jan 10
Idaho State Bengalsvs Idaho State Bengals
L 79–81
Jan 8
Weber State Wildcatsvs Weber State Wildcats
L 65–78
Jan 3
Montana State Bobcats@ Montana State Bobcats
L 68–77
Jan 1
Montana Grizzlies@ Montana Grizzlies
L 64–78
Dec 29
vs Benedictine (AZ) Redhawks
W 112–60
Dec 21
Incarnate Word Cardinals@ Incarnate Word Cardinals
L 66–90
Dec 18
Southern Utah Thunderbirdsvs Southern Utah Thunderbirds
W 65–57
Dec 13
San Diego Toreros@ San Diego Toreros
L 69–78
Dec 9
Arizona State Sun Devils@ Arizona State Sun Devils
L 48–73
Dec 6
North Dakota State Bison@ North Dakota State Bison
L 68–69
Dec 3
South Dakota State Jackrabbitsvs South Dakota State Jackrabbits
L 62–75
Nov 26
Southeast Missouri State Redhawksvs Southeast Missouri State Redhawks
W 79–72
Nov 24
Cal Poly Mustangsvs Cal Poly Mustangs
W 93–87
Nov 18
vs Embry-Riddle (AZ) Eagles
W 108–79
Nov 11
Arizona Wildcats@ Arizona Wildcats
L 49–84
Nov 7
vs Justice College Lions
W 87–55
← Opponent leading← Game time →Team leading →
Game Log
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
DateOpponentScore (H-A)Droughts
Mar 7Idaho State Bengals@ Idaho State BengalsL 73-65
3
Mar 2Montana State Bobcatsvs Montana State BobcatsL 65-76
4
Feb 28Eastern Washington Eagles@ Eastern Washington EaglesL 88-57
2
Feb 26Idaho Vandals@ Idaho VandalsL 78-58
3
Feb 21Northern Colorado Bears@ Northern Colorado BearsL 78-770
Feb 14Sacramento State Hornetsvs Sacramento State HornetsW 79-74
1
Feb 12Portland State Vikingsvs Portland State VikingsL 68-77
2
Feb 7Weber State Wildcats@ Weber State WildcatsL 72-53
5
Feb 5Idaho State Bengals@ Idaho State BengalsW 73-79
1
Jan 31Idaho Vandalsvs Idaho VandalsL 62-79
2
Jan 29Eastern Washington Eaglesvs Eastern Washington EaglesW 92-86
1
Jan 24Northern Colorado Bearsvs Northern Colorado BearsW 81-77
1
Jan 19Montana Grizzliesvs Montana GrizzliesL 72-980
Jan 17Portland State Vikings@ Portland State VikingsL 63-52
3
Jan 15Sacramento State Hornets@ Sacramento State HornetsL 83-69
1
Jan 10Idaho State Bengalsvs Idaho State BengalsL 79-81
2
Jan 8Weber State Wildcatsvs Weber State WildcatsL 65-78
1
Jan 3Montana State Bobcats@ Montana State BobcatsL 77-68
1
Jan 1Montana Grizzlies@ Montana GrizzliesL 78-640
Dec 29vs Benedictine (AZ) RedhawksW 112-600
Dec 21Incarnate Word Cardinals@ Incarnate Word CardinalsL 90-66
2
Dec 18Southern Utah Thunderbirdsvs Southern Utah ThunderbirdsW 65-570
Dec 13San Diego Toreros@ San Diego TorerosL 78-69
4
Dec 9Arizona State Sun Devils@ Arizona State Sun DevilsL 73-48
3
Dec 6North Dakota State Bison@ North Dakota State BisonL 69-68
3
Dec 3South Dakota State Jackrabbitsvs South Dakota State JackrabbitsL 62-75
2
Nov 26Southeast Missouri State Redhawksvs Southeast Missouri State RedhawksW 79-72
1
Nov 24Cal Poly Mustangsvs Cal Poly MustangsW 93-870
Nov 18vs Embry-Riddle (AZ) EaglesW 108-790
Nov 11Arizona Wildcats@ Arizona WildcatsL 84-49
4
Nov 7vs Justice College LionsW 87-550
Drought-Influenced Losses
Close losses (≤15 pts) where droughts significantly impacted the outcome. "Defensive cost" = points allowed during drought periods.
Montana State Bobcatsvs Montana State BobcatsL 65-76Mar 2
42 pts allowed during 4 droughts (55.3% of 11-pt margin)
Decisive Factor
San Diego Toreros@ San Diego TorerosL 69-78Dec 13
29 pts allowed during 4 droughts (37.2% of 9-pt margin)
Major Factor
Idaho State Bengals@ Idaho State BengalsL 65-73Mar 7
24 pts allowed during 3 droughts (32.9% of 8-pt margin)
Major Factor
North Dakota State Bison@ North Dakota State BisonL 68-69Dec 6
23 pts allowed during 3 droughts (33.3% of 1-pt margin)
Major Factor
Portland State Vikingsvs Portland State VikingsL 68-77Feb 12
21 pts allowed during 2 droughts (27.3% of 9-pt margin)
Major Factor
Idaho State Bengalsvs Idaho State BengalsL 79-81Jan 10
20 pts allowed during 2 droughts (24.7% of 2-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Sacramento State Hornets@ Sacramento State HornetsL 69-83Jan 15
14 pts allowed during 1 drought (16.9% of 14-pt margin)
Significant Factor
South Dakota State Jackrabbitsvs South Dakota State JackrabbitsL 62-75Dec 3
13 pts allowed during 2 droughts (17.3% of 13-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Portland State Vikings@ Portland State VikingsL 52-63Jan 17
13 pts allowed during 3 droughts (20.6% of 11-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Drought Killers
Players who most often ended Northern Arizona Lumberjacks scoring droughts this season.
1
KP
Karl Poom
23% clutchⓘ
13
2
TJ
Traivar Jackson
0% clutchⓘ
7
3
IS
Isaiah Shaw
29% clutchⓘ
7
4
RA
Ryan Abelman
17% clutchⓘ
6
5
BP
Brennan Peterson
40% clutchⓘ
5
6
DC
Diego Campisano
75% clutchⓘ
4
7
CK
Chris Komin
0% clutchⓘ
3
8
AO
Arne Osojnik
0% clutchⓘ
3
9
OF
Oakland Fort
2
3PT
2PT
FT