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Saturday, February 14, 2026

Conference Game
Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:59

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 14 pts ceded/game

Final Results

Better than predicted

Droughts

~21

-1

Pts Ceded

~149

-5

Sacramento State Hornets

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:48

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 11 pts ceded/game

Final Results

~ Worse than predicted

Droughts

~11

+0

Pts Ceded

~1115

+4

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks averages 2 droughts/game  · Sacramento State Hornets forces 1 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

2

Both teams combined

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Droughts

1

Sacramento State Hornets Droughts

1

Longest Drought

8:19

Sacramento State Hornets

Drought Point Swing

24

Total unanswered points during droughts

1 drought9 unanswered points allowed

9.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

1 drought15 unanswered points allowed

15.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline
All Droughts
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

1
2nd Halfnotable

Score: 4244 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Ryan Abelman makes 9-foot jumper

2-Pointer

3:52

16.6 opp pts

Sacramento State Hornets

Sacramento State Hornets

1
1st Halfcritical

Score: 912 · Opponent scored 15 pts

Ended by: Jayden Teat makes 24-foot three point jumper (Taj Glover assists)

3-Pointer

8:19

30.4 opp pts