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Mississippi State Bulldogs

Mississippi State Bulldogs

SECP4

2025-26 Drought Profile · 18 games played · 12-19 (39%)

Mississippi State Bulldogs ranks 16th of 16 SEC teams in droughts per game (1.89 dpg, above the SEC average of 1.51). Their droughts average 3:43 — near the SEC norm — and have allowed opponents an average of 7.7 pts per drought, contributing to 3 influenced losses this season.

Drought Profile

Droughts/Game

1.89

Conf avg: 1.5 · #16 of 16 in SEC

16th in SEC

+0.38/game vs SEC avg

#16 in SEC (16 teams)

Avg Duration

3:43

Conf avg: 226.9 · #6 of 16 in SEC

-0:04 vs SEC avg

How long cold streaks typically last

Avg Pts Allowed

7.7

Conf avg: 7.5 · #10 of 16 in SEC

+0.2 pts vs SEC avg

Opponent points scored per drought

Game Impact

Influenced Losses

3

0 decisive/major — close losses where droughts swung the margin

Timeout Rate

29%

Coach called a timeout in 10 of 34 droughts

Record w/ 2+ Droughts

4-10

vs 8-9 in games with 0–1 droughts

Drought Trend This Season
Droughts per game over the season with a 3-game rolling average. Season average: 1.9 droughts/game.
When Droughts Happen
Shows when droughts begin in each 2-minute window throughout the game. Counts total to 34 droughts. Dashed line shows the conference average.
Half Breakdown
1st half vs 2nd half: does this team adjust at halftime or get worse?
1st Half
20
droughts · avg 3:50
2nd Half
14
droughts · avg 3:33
Drought Cost by Severity
How damaging are each tier of drought? Longer droughts allow more opponent points — see if critical ones truly hurt more.
Notable (3–4 min)
26
76% of droughts
7.3 pts allowed
Significant (4–5 min)
5
15% of droughts
5.6 pts allowed
Critical (5+ min)
3
9% of droughts
14.3 pts allowed

Avg. opponent points scored during drought

Notable (3–4 min)
7.3 pts
Significant (4–5 min)
5.6 pts
Critical (5+ min)
14.3 pts

Key Takeaway

Critical droughts allow 155% more points than significant ones (14.3 vs 5.6 pts). Longer droughts cost significantly more.

Drought-Ending Shots
What shot finally breaks the cold streak? Zone intensity = frequency.
3-PT(24%)2-PT(50%)FT(26%)
3-Ptr (8, 24%)2-Ptr (17, 50%)FT (9, 26%)
Score Differential by Game
Every game plotted over 40 minutes — positive = team leading, negative = trailing. Hover a game in the sidebar to highlight its path through the season.
Mar 11
Auburn Tigers@ Auburn Tigers
L 61–79
Mar 7
Georgia Bulldogsvs Georgia Bulldogs
L 96–102
Mar 3
Florida Gators@ Florida Gators
L 74–108
Feb 28
Missouri Tigersvs Missouri Tigers
L 64–88
Feb 25
Alabama Crimson Tide@ Alabama Crimson Tide
L 75–100
Feb 21
South Carolina Gamecocks@ South Carolina Gamecocks
L 89–97
Feb 18
Auburn Tigersvs Auburn Tigers
W 91–85
Feb 14
Ole Miss Rebels@ Ole Miss Rebels
W 90–78
Feb 11
Tennessee Volunteersvs Tennessee Volunteers
L 64–73
Feb 7
Arkansas Razorbacksvs Arkansas Razorbacks
L 68–88
Jan 31
Missouri Tigers@ Missouri Tigers
L 79–84
Jan 28
LSU Tigers@ LSU Tigers
W 80–66
Jan 24
Vanderbilt Commodoresvs Vanderbilt Commodores
L 56–88
Jan 21
Texas A&M Aggies@ Texas A&M Aggies
L 68–88
Jan 17
Ole Miss Rebelsvs Ole Miss Rebels
L 67–68
Jan 13
Alabama Crimson Tidevs Alabama Crimson Tide
L 82–97
Jan 10
Kentucky Wildcats@ Kentucky Wildcats
L 68–92
Jan 7
Oklahoma Soonersvs Oklahoma Sooners
W 72–53
Jan 3
Texas Longhorns@ Texas Longhorns
W 101–98
Dec 29
Alabama State Hornetsvs Alabama State Hornets
W 94–56
Dec 20
Memphis Tigersvs Memphis Tigers
W 71–66
Dec 16
Long Island University Sharksvs Long Island University Sharks
W 87–83
Dec 7
San Francisco Donsvs San Francisco Dons
L 62–65
Dec 3
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets@ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
W 85–73
Nov 28
SMU Mustangsvs SMU Mustangs
L 81–87
Nov 24
New Orleans Privateersvs New Orleans Privateers
W 81–78
Nov 21
New Mexico Lobos@ New Mexico Lobos
L 78–80
Nov 20
Kansas State Wildcats@ Kansas State Wildcats
L 77–98
Nov 15
SE Louisiana Lionsvs SE Louisiana Lions
W 75–68
Nov 10
Iowa State Cyclones@ Iowa State Cyclones
L 80–96
Nov 5
North Alabama Lionsvs North Alabama Lions
W 86–62
← Opponent leading← Game time →Team leading →
Game Log
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
DateOpponentScore (H-A)Droughts
Mar 11Auburn Tigers@ Auburn TigersL 79-61
2
Mar 7Georgia Bulldogsvs Georgia BulldogsL 96-1020
Mar 3Florida Gators@ Florida GatorsL 108-74
3
Feb 28Missouri Tigersvs Missouri TigersL 64-880
Feb 25Alabama Crimson Tide@ Alabama Crimson TideL 100-75
2
Feb 21South Carolina Gamecocks@ South Carolina GamecocksL 97-890
Feb 18Auburn Tigersvs Auburn TigersW 91-85
2
Feb 14Ole Miss Rebels@ Ole Miss RebelsW 78-90
1
Feb 11Tennessee Volunteersvs Tennessee VolunteersL 64-73
1
Feb 7Arkansas Razorbacksvs Arkansas RazorbacksL 68-88
2
Jan 31Missouri Tigers@ Missouri TigersL 84-790
Jan 28LSU Tigers@ LSU TigersW 66-80
2
Jan 24Vanderbilt Commodoresvs Vanderbilt CommodoresL 56-88
2
Jan 21Texas A&M Aggies@ Texas A&M AggiesL 88-68
2
Jan 17Ole Miss Rebelsvs Ole Miss RebelsL 67-68
2
Jan 13Alabama Crimson Tidevs Alabama Crimson TideL 82-970
Jan 10Kentucky Wildcats@ Kentucky WildcatsL 92-68
2
Jan 7Oklahoma Soonersvs Oklahoma SoonersW 72-53
1
Jan 3Texas Longhorns@ Texas LonghornsW 98-1010
Dec 29Alabama State Hornetsvs Alabama State HornetsW 94-560
Dec 20Memphis Tigersvs Memphis TigersW 71-66
2
Dec 16Long Island University Sharksvs Long Island University SharksW 87-830
Dec 7San Francisco Donsvs San Francisco DonsL 62-65
3
Dec 3Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets@ Georgia Tech Yellow JacketsW 73-850
Nov 28SMU Mustangsvs SMU MustangsL 81-870
Nov 24New Orleans Privateersvs New Orleans PrivateersW 81-780
Nov 21New Mexico Lobos@ New Mexico LobosL 80-780
Nov 20Kansas State Wildcats@ Kansas State WildcatsL 98-770
Nov 15SE Louisiana Lionsvs SE Louisiana LionsW 75-68
2
Nov 10Iowa State Cyclones@ Iowa State CyclonesL 96-80
2
Nov 5North Alabama Lionsvs North Alabama LionsW 86-62
1
Drought-Influenced Losses
Close losses (≤15 pts) where droughts significantly impacted the outcome. "Defensive cost" = points allowed during drought periods.
San Francisco Donsvs San Francisco DonsL 62-65Dec 7
16 pts allowed during 3 droughts (24.6% of 3-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Tennessee Volunteersvs Tennessee VolunteersL 64-73Feb 11
12 pts allowed during 1 drought (16.4% of 9-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Ole Miss Rebelsvs Ole Miss RebelsL 67-68Jan 17
12 pts allowed during 2 droughts (17.6% of 1-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Drought Killers
Players who most often ended Mississippi State Bulldogs scoring droughts this season.
1
JH
Josh Hubbard
56% clutchⓘ
9
2
JE
Jayden Epps
50% clutchⓘ
6
3
AA
Achor Achor
25% clutchⓘ
4
4
JM
Ja'Borri McGhee
33% clutchⓘ
3
5
QB
Quincy Ballard
67% clutchⓘ
3
6
SM
Sergej Macura
67% clutchⓘ
3
7
KG
King Grace
2
8
SJ
Shawn Jones Jr.
2
3PT
2PT
FT