Mississippi State Bulldogs at Ole Miss Rebels

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Saturday, February 14, 2026

Conference Game

Ole Miss Rebels

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

Ole Miss Rebels

High confidence

est. droughts

3:55

avg duration

pts/drought

est. 8 pts ceded/game

Final Results

✗ Much worse than predicted

Droughts

~1→2

Pts Ceded

~8→22

+14

Mississippi State Bulldogs

High confidence

est. droughts

3:43

avg duration

pts/drought

est. 18 pts ceded/game

Final Results

✓ Much better than predicted

Droughts

~2→1

-1

Pts Ceded

~18→5

-13

Ole Miss Rebels averages 2 droughts/game · Mississippi State Bulldogs forces 1 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

Both teams combined

Ole Miss Rebels Droughts

Mississippi State Bulldogs Droughts

Longest Drought

4:08

Ole Miss Rebels

Drought Point Swing

Total unanswered points during droughts

Mississippi State Bulldogs Drought Impact

1 drought • 5 unanswered points allowed

5.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Ole Miss Rebels Drought Impact

2 droughts • 22 unanswered points allowed

22.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline

All Droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)

Ole Miss Rebels

1st HalfsignificantTO called

Score: 3 → 5 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Malik Dia makes layup (Ilias Kamardine assists)

2-Pointer

4:08

17.1 opp pts

1st HalfnotableTO called

Score: 26 → 28 · Opponent scored 13 pts

Ended by: Koren Johnson makes 11-foot floating jump shot

2-Pointer

3:49

20.4 opp pts

Mississippi State Bulldogs

1st Halfnotable

Score: 13 → 16 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Sergej Macura makes 23-foot three point jumper (Shawn Jones Jr. assists)

3-Pointer

3:09

12.1 opp pts