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Louisville Cardinals

Louisville Cardinals

ACCP4

2025-26 Drought Profile · 22 games played · 22-10 (69%)

Louisville Cardinals ranks 8th of 18 ACC teams in droughts per game (1.77 dpg, below the ACC average of 1.79). Their droughts average 3:37 — 0:10 below the ACC norm — and have allowed opponents an average of 6.8 pts per drought, contributing to 6 influenced losses (2 decisive/major) this season.

Drought Profile

Droughts/Game

1.77

Conf avg: 1.8 · #8 of 18 in ACC

8th in ACC

-0.02/game vs ACC avg

#8 in ACC (18 teams)

Avg Duration

3:37

Conf avg: 226.6 · #3 of 18 in ACC

-0:10 vs ACC avg

How long cold streaks typically last

Avg Pts Allowed

6.8

Conf avg: 7.0 · #4 of 18 in ACC

-0.2 pts vs ACC avg

Opponent points scored per drought

Game Impact

Influenced Losses

6

2 decisive/major — close losses where droughts swung the margin

Timeout Rate

28%

Coach called a timeout in 11 of 39 droughts

Record w/ 2+ Droughts

6-5

vs 16-5 in games with 0–1 droughts

Drought Trend This Season
Droughts per game over the season with a 3-game rolling average. Season average: 1.8 droughts/game.
When Droughts Happen
Shows when droughts begin in each 2-minute window throughout the game. Counts total to 39 droughts. Dashed line shows the conference average.
Half Breakdown
1st half vs 2nd half: does this team adjust at halftime or get worse?
1st Half
24
droughts · avg 3:42
2nd Half
15
droughts · avg 3:28
Drought Cost by Severity
How damaging are each tier of drought? Longer droughts allow more opponent points — see if critical ones truly hurt more.
Notable (3–4 min)
31
79% of droughts
6.3 pts allowed
Significant (4–5 min)
6
15% of droughts
8.8 pts allowed
Critical (5+ min)
2
5% of droughts
8.5 pts allowed

Avg. opponent points scored during drought

Notable (3–4 min)
6.3 pts
Significant (4–5 min)
8.8 pts
Critical (5+ min)
8.5 pts

Key Takeaway

Significant droughts allow 40% more points than notable ones (8.8 vs 6.3 pts). Longer droughts cost significantly more.

Drought-Ending Shots
What shot finally breaks the cold streak? Zone intensity = frequency.
3-PT(26%)2-PT(54%)FT(21%)
3-Ptr (10, 26%)2-Ptr (21, 54%)FT (8, 21%)
Score Differential by Game
Every game plotted over 40 minutes — positive = team leading, negative = trailing. Hover a game in the sidebar to highlight its path through the season.
Mar 12
Miami Hurricanes@ Miami Hurricanes
L 73–78
Mar 11
SMU Mustangsvs SMU Mustangs
W 62–58
Mar 7
Miami Hurricanes@ Miami Hurricanes
W 92–89
Mar 3
Syracuse Orangevs Syracuse Orange
W 77–62
Feb 28
Clemson Tigers@ Clemson Tigers
L 75–80
Feb 23
North Carolina Tar Heels@ North Carolina Tar Heels
L 40–46
Feb 21
Georgia Tech Yellow Jacketsvs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
W 87–70
Feb 17
SMU Mustangs@ SMU Mustangs
L 85–95
Feb 14
Baylor Bears@ Baylor Bears
W 82–71
Feb 9
NC State Wolfpackvs NC State Wolfpack
W 118–77
Feb 7
Wake Forest Demon Deacons@ Wake Forest Demon Deacons
W 88–80
Feb 4
Notre Dame Fighting Irishvs Notre Dame Fighting Irish
W 76–65
Jan 31
SMU Mustangsvs SMU Mustangs
W 88–74
Jan 26
Duke Blue Devils@ Duke Blue Devils
L 52–83
Jan 24
Virginia Tech Hokiesvs Virginia Tech Hokies
W 85–71
Jan 17
Pittsburgh Panthers@ Pittsburgh Panthers
W 100–59
Jan 13
Virginia Cavaliersvs Virginia Cavaliers
L 70–79
Jan 10
Boston College Eaglesvs Boston College Eagles
W 75–62
Jan 6
Duke Blue Devilsvs Duke Blue Devils
L 73–84
Jan 2
Stanford Cardinal@ Stanford Cardinal
L 76–80
Dec 30
California Golden Bears@ California Golden Bears
W 90–70
Dec 20
Montana Grizzliesvs Montana Grizzlies
W 94–54
Dec 16
Tennessee Volunteers@ Tennessee Volunteers
L 62–83
Dec 13
Memphis Tigersvs Memphis Tigers
W 99–73
Dec 6
Indiana Hoosiersvs Indiana Hoosiers
W 87–78
Dec 3
Arkansas Razorbacks@ Arkansas Razorbacks
L 80–89
Nov 26
NJIT Highlandersvs NJIT Highlanders
W 104–47
Nov 24
Eastern Michigan Eaglesvs Eastern Michigan Eagles
W 87–46
Nov 21
Cincinnati Bearcats@ Cincinnati Bearcats
W 74–64
Nov 15
Ohio Bobcatsvs Ohio Bobcats
W 106–81
Nov 11
Kentucky Wildcatsvs Kentucky Wildcats
W 96–88
Nov 6
Jackson State Tigersvs Jackson State Tigers
W 106–70
← Opponent leading← Game time →Team leading →
Game Log
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
DateOpponentScore (H-A)Droughts
Mar 12Miami Hurricanes@ Miami HurricanesL 78-73
1
Mar 11SMU Mustangsvs SMU MustangsW 62-58
2
Mar 7Miami Hurricanes@ Miami HurricanesW 89-92
1
Mar 3Syracuse Orangevs Syracuse OrangeW 77-62
1
Feb 28Clemson Tigers@ Clemson TigersL 80-750
Feb 23North Carolina Tar Heels@ North Carolina Tar HeelsL 46-40
4
Feb 21Georgia Tech Yellow Jacketsvs Georgia Tech Yellow JacketsW 87-70
2
Feb 17SMU Mustangs@ SMU MustangsL 95-85
2
Feb 14Baylor Bears@ Baylor BearsW 71-82
2
Feb 9NC State Wolfpackvs NC State WolfpackW 118-770
Feb 7Wake Forest Demon Deacons@ Wake Forest Demon DeaconsW 80-88
1
Feb 4Notre Dame Fighting Irishvs Notre Dame Fighting IrishW 76-65
2
Jan 31SMU Mustangsvs SMU MustangsW 88-740
Jan 26Duke Blue Devils@ Duke Blue DevilsL 83-52
4
Jan 24Virginia Tech Hokiesvs Virginia Tech HokiesW 85-71
2
Jan 17Pittsburgh Panthers@ Pittsburgh PanthersW 59-100
1
Jan 13Virginia Cavaliersvs Virginia CavaliersL 70-79
2
Jan 10Boston College Eaglesvs Boston College EaglesW 75-62
1
Jan 6Duke Blue Devilsvs Duke Blue DevilsL 73-84
4
Jan 2Stanford Cardinal@ Stanford CardinalL 80-760
Dec 30California Golden Bears@ California Golden BearsW 70-900
Dec 20Montana Grizzliesvs Montana GrizzliesW 94-54
1
Dec 16Tennessee Volunteers@ Tennessee VolunteersL 83-620
Dec 13Memphis Tigersvs Memphis TigersW 99-73
1
Dec 6Indiana Hoosiersvs Indiana HoosiersW 87-78
1
Dec 3Arkansas Razorbacks@ Arkansas RazorbacksL 89-80
1
Nov 26NJIT Highlandersvs NJIT HighlandersW 104-470
Nov 24Eastern Michigan Eaglesvs Eastern Michigan EaglesW 87-46
2
Nov 21Cincinnati Bearcats@ Cincinnati BearcatsW 64-74
1
Nov 15Ohio Bobcatsvs Ohio BobcatsW 106-810
Nov 11Kentucky Wildcatsvs Kentucky WildcatsW 96-880
Nov 6Jackson State Tigersvs Jackson State TigersW 106-700
Drought-Influenced Losses
Close losses (≤15 pts) where droughts significantly impacted the outcome. "Defensive cost" = points allowed during drought periods.
North Carolina Tar Heels@ North Carolina Tar HeelsL 40-46Feb 23
30 pts allowed during 4 droughts (65.2% of 6-pt margin)
Decisive Factor
Duke Blue Devilsvs Duke Blue DevilsL 73-84Jan 6
27 pts allowed during 4 droughts (32.1% of 11-pt margin)
Major Factor
Virginia Cavaliersvs Virginia CavaliersL 70-79Jan 13
12 pts allowed during 2 droughts (15.2% of 9-pt margin)
Significant Factor
SMU Mustangs@ SMU MustangsL 85-95Feb 17
12 pts allowed during 2 droughts (12.6% of 10-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Miami Hurricanes@ Miami HurricanesL 73-78Mar 12
10 pts allowed during 1 drought (12.8% of 5-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Arkansas Razorbacks@ Arkansas RazorbacksL 80-89Dec 3
10 pts allowed during 1 drought (11.2% of 9-pt margin)
Minor Factor
Drought Killers
Players who most often ended Louisville Cardinals scoring droughts this season.
1
IM
Isaac McKneely
50% clutchⓘ
8
2
RC
Ryan Conwell
71% clutchⓘ
7
3
MJ
Mikel Brown Jr.
33% clutchⓘ
6
4
JH
J'Vonne Hadley
50% clutchⓘ
6
5
SF
Sananda Fru
50% clutchⓘ
4
6
AW
Adrian Wooley
67% clutchⓘ
3
7
KR
Kobe Rodgers
2
3PT
2PT
FT