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Monday, February 23, 2026

Conference Game
Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

North Carolina Tar Heels

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:41

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 18 pts ceded/game

Final Results

Better than predicted

Droughts

~21

-1

Pts Ceded

~189

-9

Louisville Cardinals

High confidence

3

est. droughts

3:37

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 17 pts ceded/game

Final Results

Much worse than predicted

Droughts

~34

+1

Pts Ceded

~1730

+13

North Carolina Tar Heels averages 2 droughts/game  · Louisville Cardinals forces 2 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

5

Both teams combined

North Carolina Tar Heels Droughts

1

Louisville Cardinals Droughts

4

Longest Drought

4:15

Louisville Cardinals

Drought Point Swing

39

Total unanswered points during droughts

Louisville Cardinals Drought Impact

4 droughts30 unanswered points allowed

30.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

1 drought9 unanswered points allowed

9.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline
All Droughts
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
North Carolina Tar Heels

North Carolina Tar Heels

1
2nd HalfnotableTO called

Score: 5659 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Jarin Stevenson makes 25-foot three point jumper (Kyan Evans assists)

3-Pointer

3:23

12.9 opp pts

Louisville Cardinals

Louisville Cardinals

4
2nd HalfsignificantTO called

Score: 4042 · Opponent scored 10 pts

Ended by: Ryan Conwell makes driving layup

2-Pointer

4:15

14.3 opp pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 2325 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Ryan Conwell makes driving layup

2-Pointer

3:37

11.6 opp pts

1H → 2Hnotable

Score: 3839 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Sananda Fru makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:23

9.4 opp pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 2729 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Vangelis Zougris makes 12-foot jumper

2-Pointer

3:01

9.0 opp pts