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Fresno State Bulldogs

Fresno State Bulldogs

Mountain WestG5

2025-26 Drought Profile · 23 games played · 12-19 (39%)

Fresno State Bulldogs ranks 10th of 12 Mountain West teams in droughts per game (1.91 dpg, above the Mountain West average of 1.74). Their droughts average 3:49 — 0:06 below the Mountain West norm — and have allowed opponents an average of 7.0 pts per drought, contributing to 8 influenced losses (2 decisive/major) this season.

Drought Profile

Droughts/Game

1.91

Conf avg: 1.8 · #10 of 12 in Mountain West

10th in Mountain West

+0.17/game vs Mountain West avg

#10 in Mountain West (12 teams)

Avg Duration

3:49

Conf avg: 234.8 · #7 of 12 in Mountain West

-0:06 vs Mountain West avg

How long cold streaks typically last

Avg Pts Allowed

7.0

Conf avg: 7.3 · #6 of 12 in Mountain West

-0.3 pts vs Mountain West avg

Opponent points scored per drought

Game Impact

Influenced Losses

8

2 decisive/major — close losses where droughts swung the margin

Timeout Rate

30%

Coach called a timeout in 13 of 44 droughts

Record w/ 2+ Droughts

7-8

vs 5-11 in games with 0–1 droughts

Drought Trend This Season
Droughts per game over the season with a 3-game rolling average. Season average: 1.9 droughts/game.
When Droughts Happen
Shows when droughts begin in each 2-minute window throughout the game. Counts total to 44 droughts. Dashed line shows the conference average.
Half Breakdown
1st half vs 2nd half: does this team adjust at halftime or get worse?
1st Half
28
droughts · avg 3:50
2nd Half
16
droughts · avg 3:47
Drought Cost by Severity
How damaging are each tier of drought? Longer droughts allow more opponent points — see if critical ones truly hurt more.
Notable (3–4 min)
29
66% of droughts
6.1 pts allowed
Significant (4–5 min)
10
23% of droughts
7.3 pts allowed
Critical (5+ min)
5
11% of droughts
11.2 pts allowed

Avg. opponent points scored during drought

Notable (3–4 min)
6.1 pts
Significant (4–5 min)
7.3 pts
Critical (5+ min)
11.2 pts

Key Takeaway

Critical droughts allow 84% more points than notable ones (11.2 vs 6.1 pts). Longer droughts cost significantly more.

Drought-Ending Shots
What shot finally breaks the cold streak? Zone intensity = frequency.
3-PT(26%)2-PT(60%)FT(14%)
3-Ptr (11, 26%)2-Ptr (26, 60%)FT (6, 14%)
Score Differential by Game
Every game plotted over 40 minutes — positive = team leading, negative = trailing. Hover a game in the sidebar to highlight its path through the season.
Mar 11
Colorado State Rams@ Colorado State Rams
L 63–67
Mar 7
Grand Canyon Lopes@ Grand Canyon Lopes
L 60–85
Mar 3
San José State Spartansvs San José State Spartans
W 82–68
Feb 28
Boise State Broncosvs Boise State Broncos
L 53–69
Feb 24
Colorado State Rams@ Colorado State Rams
L 70–74
Feb 21
New Mexico Lobosvs New Mexico Lobos
L 78–80
Feb 17
Wyoming Cowboys@ Wyoming Cowboys
L 82–92
Feb 14
Air Force Falconsvs Air Force Falcons
W 93–63
Feb 10
Utah State Aggies@ Utah State Aggies
L 78–91
Feb 7
Nevada Wolf Pack@ Nevada Wolf Pack
L 59–69
Feb 3
UNLV Rebelsvs UNLV Rebels
W 98–96
Jan 31
Air Force Falcons@ Air Force Falcons
W 79–62
Jan 24
Grand Canyon Lopesvs Grand Canyon Lopes
L 57–68
Jan 21
New Mexico Lobos@ New Mexico Lobos
L 74–83
Jan 17
Wyoming Cowboysvs Wyoming Cowboys
W 63–60
Jan 13
Colorado State Ramsvs Colorado State Rams
W 79–69
Jan 10
San Diego State Aztecs@ San Diego State Aztecs
L 52–71
Jan 6
San José State Spartans@ San José State Spartans
W 70–55
Jan 3
Nevada Wolf Packvs Nevada Wolf Pack
L 65–66
Dec 30
Utah State Aggiesvs Utah State Aggies
L 63–72
Dec 20
UNLV Rebels@ UNLV Rebels
L 72–84
Dec 10
Cal State Northridge Matadors@ Cal State Northridge Matadors
L 87–89
Dec 6
Arkansas Razorbacks@ Arkansas Razorbacks
L 58–82
Nov 30
Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunnersvs Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners
L 71–76
Nov 26
Pepperdine Wavesvs Pepperdine Waves
W 76–53
Nov 21
New Orleans Privateersvs New Orleans Privateers
W 85–76
Nov 18
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacksvs Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
W 80–78
Nov 15
Utah Valley Wolverinesvs Utah Valley Wolverines
W 75–74
Nov 12
UC San Diego Tritonsvs UC San Diego Tritons
L 73–78
Nov 8
Long Beach State Beachvs Long Beach State Beach
W 82–62
Nov 5
South Carolina Upstate Spartansvs South Carolina Upstate Spartans
L 66–67
← Opponent leading← Game time →Team leading →
Game Log
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
DateOpponentScore (H-A)Droughts
Mar 11Colorado State Rams@ Colorado State RamsL 67-63
3
Mar 7Grand Canyon Lopes@ Grand Canyon LopesL 85-60
3
Mar 3San José State Spartansvs San José State SpartansW 82-680
Feb 28Boise State Broncosvs Boise State BroncosL 53-690
Feb 24Colorado State Rams@ Colorado State RamsL 74-70
1
Feb 21New Mexico Lobosvs New Mexico LobosL 78-80
1
Feb 17Wyoming Cowboys@ Wyoming CowboysL 92-820
Feb 14Air Force Falconsvs Air Force FalconsW 93-630
Feb 10Utah State Aggies@ Utah State AggiesL 91-78
1
Feb 7Nevada Wolf Pack@ Nevada Wolf PackL 69-59
2
Feb 3UNLV Rebelsvs UNLV RebelsW 98-96
3
Jan 31Air Force Falcons@ Air Force FalconsW 62-79
2
Jan 24Grand Canyon Lopesvs Grand Canyon LopesL 57-68
2
Jan 21New Mexico Lobos@ New Mexico LobosL 83-74
2
Jan 17Wyoming Cowboysvs Wyoming CowboysW 63-60
2
Jan 13Colorado State Ramsvs Colorado State RamsW 79-69
1
Jan 10San Diego State Aztecs@ San Diego State AztecsL 71-52
2
Jan 6San José State Spartans@ San José State SpartansW 55-70
3
Jan 3Nevada Wolf Packvs Nevada Wolf PackL 65-660
Dec 30Utah State Aggiesvs Utah State AggiesL 63-72
1
Dec 20UNLV Rebels@ UNLV RebelsL 84-72
1
Dec 10Cal State Northridge Matadors@ Cal State Northridge MatadorsL 89-87
1
Dec 6Arkansas Razorbacks@ Arkansas RazorbacksL 82-58
2
Nov 30Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunnersvs Cal State Bakersfield RoadrunnersL 71-760
Nov 26Pepperdine Wavesvs Pepperdine WavesW 76-53
2
Nov 21New Orleans Privateersvs New Orleans PrivateersW 85-760
Nov 18Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacksvs Stephen F. Austin LumberjacksW 80-780
Nov 15Utah Valley Wolverinesvs Utah Valley WolverinesW 75-74
2
Nov 12UC San Diego Tritonsvs UC San Diego TritonsL 73-78
1
Nov 8Long Beach State Beachvs Long Beach State BeachW 82-62
2
Nov 5South Carolina Upstate Spartansvs South Carolina Upstate SpartansL 66-67
4
Drought-Influenced Losses
Close losses (≤15 pts) where droughts significantly impacted the outcome. "Defensive cost" = points allowed during drought periods.
South Carolina Upstate Spartansvs South Carolina Upstate SpartansL 66-67Nov 5
25 pts allowed during 4 droughts (37.3% of 1-pt margin)
Major Factor
Nevada Wolf Pack@ Nevada Wolf PackL 59-69Feb 7
20 pts allowed during 2 droughts (29% of 10-pt margin)
Major Factor
New Mexico Lobos@ New Mexico LobosL 74-83Jan 21
19 pts allowed during 2 droughts (22.9% of 9-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Colorado State Rams@ Colorado State RamsL 63-67Mar 11
11 pts allowed during 3 droughts (16.4% of 4-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Grand Canyon Lopesvs Grand Canyon LopesL 57-68Jan 24
9 pts allowed during 2 droughts (13.2% of 11-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Colorado State Rams@ Colorado State RamsL 70-74Feb 24
9 pts allowed during 1 drought (12.2% of 4-pt margin)
Significant Factor
UNLV Rebels@ UNLV RebelsL 72-84Dec 20
8 pts allowed during 1 drought (9.5% of 12-pt margin)
Minor Factor
Utah State Aggies@ Utah State AggiesL 78-91Feb 10
8 pts allowed during 1 drought (8.8% of 13-pt margin)
Minor Factor
Drought Killers
Players who most often ended Fresno State Bulldogs scoring droughts this season.
1
DG
DeShawn Gory
22% clutchⓘ
9
2
JH
Jake Heidbreder
38% clutchⓘ
8
3
WJ
Wilson Jacques
20% clutchⓘ
5
4
ZC
Zaon Collins
40% clutchⓘ
5
5
JM
Jac Mani
25% clutchⓘ
4
6
GK
Gasper Kocevar
100% clutchⓘ
3
7
DJ
David Douglas Jr.
33% clutchⓘ
3
8
CF
Cameron Faas
0% clutchⓘ
3
3PT
2PT
FT