Boise State Broncos at Fresno State Bulldogs

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Saturday, February 28, 2026

Conference Game

Fresno State Bulldogs

Boise State Broncos

Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

Fresno State Bulldogs

High confidence

est. droughts

3:49

avg duration

pts/drought

est. 16 pts ceded/game

Final Results

✗ Predicted drought — none occurred

Droughts

~2→0

-2

Pts Ceded

~16→0

-16

Boise State Broncos

High confidence

est. droughts

3:48

avg duration

pts/drought

est. 13 pts ceded/game

Final Results

✗ Much worse than predicted

Droughts

~2→3

Pts Ceded

~13→15

Fresno State Bulldogs averages 2 droughts/game · Boise State Broncos forces 2 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

Both teams combined

Fresno State Bulldogs Droughts

Boise State Broncos Droughts

Longest Drought

4:05

Boise State Broncos

Drought Point Swing

Total unanswered points during droughts

Boise State Broncos Drought Impact

3 droughts • 15 unanswered points allowed

15.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline

All Droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)

Fresno State Bulldogs

No notable droughts

Boise State Broncos

1H → 2Hsignificant

Score: 28 → 30 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Javan Buchanan makes 6-foot jumper

2-Pointer

4:05

13.0 opp pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 20 → 23 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Spencer Ahrens makes 26-foot three point jumper (Dylan Andrews assists)

3-Pointer

3:41

11.4 opp pts

2nd HalfnotableTO called

Score: 59 → 61 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Dominic Parolin makes 5-foot jumper

2-Pointer

3:09

9.4 opp pts