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Texas State Bobcats

Texas State Bobcats

Sun BeltG5

2025-26 Drought Profile · 21 games played · 19-12 (61%)

Texas State Bobcats ranks 4th of 14 Sun Belt teams in droughts per game (1.67 dpg, below the Sun Belt average of 1.92). Their droughts average 4:03 — +0:09 above the Sun Belt norm — and have allowed opponents an average of 6.9 pts per drought, contributing to 7 influenced losses (2 decisive/major) this season.

Drought Profile

Droughts/Game

1.67

Conf avg: 1.9 · #4 of 14 in Sun Belt

4th in Sun Belt

-0.25/game vs Sun Belt avg

#4 in Sun Belt (14 teams)

Avg Duration

4:03

Conf avg: 234.8 · #13 of 14 in Sun Belt

+0:09 vs Sun Belt avg

How long cold streaks typically last

Avg Pts Allowed

6.9

Conf avg: 7.3 · #6 of 14 in Sun Belt

-0.4 pts vs Sun Belt avg

Opponent points scored per drought

Game Impact

Influenced Losses

7

2 decisive/major — close losses where droughts swung the margin

Timeout Rate

20%

Coach called a timeout in 7 of 35 droughts

Record w/ 2+ Droughts

6-4

vs 13-8 in games with 0–1 droughts

Drought Trend This Season
Droughts per game over the season with a 3-game rolling average. Season average: 1.7 droughts/game.
When Droughts Happen
Shows when droughts begin in each 2-minute window throughout the game. Counts total to 35 droughts. Dashed line shows the conference average.
Half Breakdown
1st half vs 2nd half: does this team adjust at halftime or get worse?
1st Half
23
droughts · avg 3:56
2nd Half
12
droughts · avg 4:16
Drought Cost by Severity
How damaging are each tier of drought? Longer droughts allow more opponent points — see if critical ones truly hurt more.
Notable (3–4 min)
19
54% of droughts
5.5 pts allowed
Significant (4–5 min)
11
31% of droughts
7.1 pts allowed
Critical (5+ min)
5
14% of droughts
12 pts allowed

Avg. opponent points scored during drought

Notable (3–4 min)
5.5 pts
Significant (4–5 min)
7.1 pts
Critical (5+ min)
12 pts

Key Takeaway

Critical droughts allow 118% more points than notable ones (12 vs 5.5 pts). Longer droughts cost significantly more.

Drought-Ending Shots
What shot finally breaks the cold streak? Zone intensity = frequency.
3-PT(11%)2-PT(63%)FT(26%)
3-Ptr (4, 11%)2-Ptr (22, 63%)FT (9, 26%)
Score Differential by Game
Every game plotted over 40 minutes — positive = team leading, negative = trailing. Hover a game in the sidebar to highlight its path through the season.
Mar 6
Southern Miss Golden Eaglesvs Southern Miss Golden Eagles
L 77–81
Feb 27
App State Mountaineersvs App State Mountaineers
W 60–57
Feb 21
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns@ Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns
L 54–67
Feb 19
South Alabama Jaguars@ South Alabama Jaguars
W 90–82
Feb 14
UL Monroe Warhawksvs UL Monroe Warhawks
W 95–84
Feb 11
Troy Trojansvs Troy Trojans
W 74–62
Feb 7
Western Michigan Broncosvs Western Michigan Broncos
W 77–61
Feb 4
Georgia Southern Eagles@ Georgia Southern Eagles
W 77–71
Jan 31
Old Dominion Monarchsvs Old Dominion Monarchs
W 81–64
Jan 28
Marshall Thundering Herdvs Marshall Thundering Herd
W 72–68
Jan 24
James Madison Dukes@ James Madison Dukes
L 57–82
Jan 22
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers@ Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
L 70–72
Jan 17
Southern Miss Golden Eaglesvs Southern Miss Golden Eagles
W 74–67
Jan 14
Louisiana Ragin' Cajunsvs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns
W 59–54
Jan 10
Arkansas State Red Wolves@ Arkansas State Red Wolves
L 82–83
Jan 8
Southern Miss Golden Eagles@ Southern Miss Golden Eagles
L 70–80
Jan 3
UL Monroe Warhawks@ UL Monroe Warhawks
W 84–79
Dec 31
Troy Trojans@ Troy Trojans
L 80–100
Dec 20
South Alabama Jaguarsvs South Alabama Jaguars
W 67–65
Dec 17
Arkansas State Red Wolvesvs Arkansas State Red Wolves
L 70–89
Dec 10
Southern Jaguarsvs Southern Jaguars
W 86–83
Dec 3
Rice Owls@ Rice Owls
L 72–77
Nov 29
Lehigh Mountain Hawksvs Lehigh Mountain Hawks
L 74–78
Nov 28
Seattle U Redhawks@ Seattle U Redhawks
L 52–66
Nov 24
vs Texas Lutheran Bulldogs
W 93–41
Nov 21
Little Rock Trojansvs Little Rock Trojans
W 65–56
Nov 18
Abilene Christian Wildcatsvs Abilene Christian Wildcats
W 63–49
Nov 15
Texas Southern Tigersvs Texas Southern Tigers
W 77–67
Nov 12
UTSA Roadrunnersvs UTSA Roadrunners
W 80–69
Nov 8
Tulane Green Wave@ Tulane Green Wave
L 71–79
Nov 5
vs Texas A&M-San Antonio Jaguars
W 114–55
← Opponent leading← Game time →Team leading →
Game Log
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
DateOpponentScore (H-A)Droughts
Mar 6Southern Miss Golden Eaglesvs Southern Miss Golden EaglesL 77-810
Feb 27App State Mountaineersvs App State MountaineersW 60-57
2
Feb 21Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns@ Louisiana Ragin' CajunsL 67-54
2
Feb 19South Alabama Jaguars@ South Alabama JaguarsW 82-90
2
Feb 14UL Monroe Warhawksvs UL Monroe WarhawksW 95-840
Feb 11Troy Trojansvs Troy TrojansW 74-620
Feb 7Western Michigan Broncosvs Western Michigan BroncosW 77-61
1
Feb 4Georgia Southern Eagles@ Georgia Southern EaglesW 71-770
Jan 31Old Dominion Monarchsvs Old Dominion MonarchsW 81-64
1
Jan 28Marshall Thundering Herdvs Marshall Thundering HerdW 72-68
1
Jan 24James Madison Dukes@ James Madison DukesL 82-57
1
Jan 22Coastal Carolina Chanticleers@ Coastal Carolina ChanticleersL 72-70
1
Jan 17Southern Miss Golden Eaglesvs Southern Miss Golden EaglesW 74-67
3
Jan 14Louisiana Ragin' Cajunsvs Louisiana Ragin' CajunsW 59-54
3
Jan 10Arkansas State Red Wolves@ Arkansas State Red WolvesL 83-82
1
Jan 8Southern Miss Golden Eagles@ Southern Miss Golden EaglesL 80-70
2
Jan 3UL Monroe Warhawks@ UL Monroe WarhawksW 79-840
Dec 31Troy Trojans@ Troy TrojansL 100-80
1
Dec 20South Alabama Jaguarsvs South Alabama JaguarsW 67-650
Dec 17Arkansas State Red Wolvesvs Arkansas State Red WolvesL 70-890
Dec 10Southern Jaguarsvs Southern JaguarsW 86-83
2
Dec 3Rice Owls@ Rice OwlsL 77-72
1
Nov 29Lehigh Mountain Hawksvs Lehigh Mountain HawksL 74-78
3
Nov 28Seattle U Redhawks@ Seattle U RedhawksL 66-52
3
Nov 24vs Texas Lutheran BulldogsW 93-410
Nov 21Little Rock Trojansvs Little Rock TrojansW 65-56
1
Nov 18Abilene Christian Wildcatsvs Abilene Christian WildcatsW 63-49
2
Nov 15Texas Southern Tigersvs Texas Southern TigersW 77-67
1
Nov 12UTSA Roadrunnersvs UTSA RoadrunnersW 80-690
Nov 8Tulane Green Wave@ Tulane Green WaveL 79-71
1
Nov 5vs Texas A&M-San Antonio JaguarsW 114-550
Drought-Influenced Losses
Close losses (≤15 pts) where droughts significantly impacted the outcome. "Defensive cost" = points allowed during drought periods.
Seattle U Redhawks@ Seattle U RedhawksL 52-66Nov 28
24 pts allowed during 3 droughts (36.4% of 14-pt margin)
Major Factor
Lehigh Mountain Hawksvs Lehigh Mountain HawksL 74-78Nov 29
20 pts allowed during 3 droughts (25.6% of 4-pt margin)
Major Factor
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns@ Louisiana Ragin' CajunsL 54-67Feb 21
14 pts allowed during 2 droughts (20.9% of 13-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Southern Miss Golden Eagles@ Southern Miss Golden EaglesL 70-80Jan 8
13 pts allowed during 2 droughts (16.3% of 10-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Tulane Green Wave@ Tulane Green WaveL 71-79Nov 8
12 pts allowed during 1 drought (15.2% of 8-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers@ Coastal Carolina ChanticleersL 70-72Jan 22
11 pts allowed during 1 drought (15.3% of 2-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Rice Owls@ Rice OwlsL 72-77Dec 3
8 pts allowed during 1 drought (10.4% of 5-pt margin)
Minor Factor
Drought Killers
Players who most often ended Texas State Bobcats scoring droughts this season.
1
KG
Kaden Gumbs
71% clutchⓘ
7
2
DH
DJ Hall
33% clutchⓘ
6
3
MD
Mark Drone
33% clutchⓘ
6
4
FE
Franck Emmou
20% clutchⓘ
5
5
TK
Tay Knox
25% clutchⓘ
4
6
JB
Jalen Bolden
2
7
KD
Kyndall Davis
2
3PT
2PT
FT