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TCU Horned Frogs

TCU Horned Frogs

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2025-26 Drought Profile · 23 games played · 22-10 (69%)

TCU Horned Frogs ranks 7th of 16 Big 12 teams in droughts per game (1.74 dpg, above the Big 12 average of 1.72). Their droughts average 3:57 — near the Big 12 norm — and have allowed opponents an average of 7.2 pts per drought, contributing to 7 influenced losses (3 decisive/major) this season.

Drought Profile

Droughts/Game

1.74

Conf avg: 1.7 · #7 of 16 in Big 12

7th in Big 12

+0.02/game vs Big 12 avg

#7 in Big 12 (16 teams)

Avg Duration

3:57

Conf avg: 233.1 · #13 of 16 in Big 12

+0:04 vs Big 12 avg

How long cold streaks typically last

Avg Pts Allowed

7.2

Conf avg: 7.5 · #6 of 16 in Big 12

-0.3 pts vs Big 12 avg

Opponent points scored per drought

Game Impact

Influenced Losses

7

3 decisive/major — close losses where droughts swung the margin

Timeout Rate

30%

Coach called a timeout in 12 of 40 droughts

Record w/ 2+ Droughts

6-7

vs 16-3 in games with 0–1 droughts

Drought Trend This Season
Droughts per game over the season with a 3-game rolling average. Season average: 1.7 droughts/game.
When Droughts Happen
Shows when droughts begin in each 2-minute window throughout the game. Counts total to 40 droughts. Dashed line shows the conference average.
Half Breakdown
1st half vs 2nd half: does this team adjust at halftime or get worse?
1st Half
26
droughts · avg 3:58
2nd Half
14
droughts · avg 3:54
Drought Cost by Severity
How damaging are each tier of drought? Longer droughts allow more opponent points — see if critical ones truly hurt more.
Notable (3–4 min)
26
65% of droughts
7 pts allowed
Significant (4–5 min)
11
28% of droughts
7.7 pts allowed
Critical (5+ min)
3
8% of droughts
7.3 pts allowed

Avg. opponent points scored during drought

Notable (3–4 min)
7 pts
Significant (4–5 min)
7.7 pts
Critical (5+ min)
7.3 pts

Key Takeaway

Significant droughts allow 10% more points than notable ones (7.7 vs 7 pts). Longer droughts cost significantly more.

Drought-Ending Shots
What shot finally breaks the cold streak? Zone intensity = frequency.
3-PT(23%)2-PT(55%)FT(23%)
3-Ptr (9, 23%)2-Ptr (22, 55%)FT (9, 23%)
Score Differential by Game
Every game plotted over 40 minutes — positive = team leading, negative = trailing. Hover a game in the sidebar to highlight its path through the season.
Mar 12
Kansas Jayhawks@ Kansas Jayhawks
L 73–78
Mar 11
Oklahoma State Cowboysvs Oklahoma State Cowboys
W 95–88
Mar 7
Cincinnati Bearcatsvs Cincinnati Bearcats
W 73–63
Mar 3
Texas Tech Red Raiders@ Texas Tech Red Raiders
W 73–65
Feb 28
Kansas State Wildcats@ Kansas State Wildcats
W 77–68
Feb 24
Arizona State Sun Devilsvs Arizona State Sun Devils
W 90–78
Feb 21
West Virginia Mountaineersvs West Virginia Mountaineers
W 60–54
Feb 17
UCF Knights@ UCF Knights
L 71–82
Feb 14
Oklahoma State Cowboys@ Oklahoma State Cowboys
W 95–92
Feb 10
Iowa State Cyclonesvs Iowa State Cyclones
W 62–55
Feb 7
Kansas State Wildcatsvs Kansas State Wildcats
W 84–82
Feb 1
Colorado Buffaloes@ Colorado Buffaloes
L 61–87
Jan 28
Houston Cougarsvs Houston Cougars
L 70–79
Jan 24
Baylor Bears@ Baylor Bears
W 97–90
Jan 20
Oklahoma State Cowboysvs Oklahoma State Cowboys
W 68–65
Jan 17
Utah Utes@ Utah Utes
L 79–82
Jan 14
BYU Cougars@ BYU Cougars
L 70–76
Jan 10
Arizona Wildcatsvs Arizona Wildcats
L 73–86
Jan 6
Kansas Jayhawks@ Kansas Jayhawks
L 100–104
Jan 3
Baylor Bearsvs Baylor Bears
W 69–63
Dec 29
Jackson State Tigersvs Jackson State Tigers
W 115–64
Dec 21
Florida A&M Rattlersvs Florida A&M Rattlers
W 80–56
Dec 18
Oral Roberts Golden Eaglesvs Oral Roberts Golden Eagles
W 72–53
Dec 15
Incarnate Word Cardinalsvs Incarnate Word Cardinals
W 69–65
Dec 7
North Texas Mean Green@ North Texas Mean Green
W 65–55
Dec 5
Notre Dame Fighting Irishvs Notre Dame Fighting Irish
L 85–87
Nov 28
Wisconsin Badgersvs Wisconsin Badgers
W 74–63
Nov 27
Florida Gators@ Florida Gators
W 84–80
Nov 19
Kansas City Roosvs Kansas City Roos
W 81–45
Nov 14
Michigan Wolverinesvs Michigan Wolverines
L 63–67
Nov 10
Lamar Cardinalsvs Lamar Cardinals
W 78–65
Nov 6
Saint Francis Red Flashvs Saint Francis Red Flash
W 104–63
← Opponent leading← Game time →Team leading →
Game Log
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
DateOpponentScore (H-A)Droughts
Mar 12Kansas Jayhawks@ Kansas JayhawksL 78-73
2
Mar 11Oklahoma State Cowboysvs Oklahoma State Cowboys0
Mar 7Cincinnati Bearcatsvs Cincinnati BearcatsW 73-630
Mar 3Texas Tech Red Raiders@ Texas Tech Red RaidersW 65-73
1
Feb 28Kansas State Wildcats@ Kansas State WildcatsW 68-770
Feb 24Arizona State Sun Devilsvs Arizona State Sun DevilsW 90-78
1
Feb 21West Virginia Mountaineersvs West Virginia MountaineersW 60-54
2
Feb 17UCF Knights@ UCF KnightsL 82-71
2
Feb 14Oklahoma State Cowboys@ Oklahoma State CowboysW 92-95
1
Feb 10Iowa State Cyclonesvs Iowa State CyclonesW 62-55
3
Feb 7Kansas State Wildcatsvs Kansas State WildcatsW 84-82
1
Feb 1Colorado Buffaloes@ Colorado BuffaloesL 87-61
2
Jan 28Houston Cougarsvs Houston CougarsL 70-79
2
Jan 24Baylor Bears@ Baylor BearsW 90-97
1
Jan 20Oklahoma State Cowboysvs Oklahoma State CowboysW 68-65
3
Jan 17Utah Utes@ Utah UtesL 82-790
Jan 14BYU Cougars@ BYU CougarsL 76-70
3
Jan 10Arizona Wildcatsvs Arizona WildcatsL 73-860
Jan 6Kansas Jayhawks@ Kansas JayhawksL 104-100
1
Jan 3Baylor Bearsvs Baylor BearsW 69-63
1
Dec 29Jackson State Tigersvs Jackson State TigersW 115-640
Dec 21Florida A&M Rattlersvs Florida A&M RattlersW 80-56
2
Dec 18Oral Roberts Golden Eaglesvs Oral Roberts Golden EaglesW 72-530
Dec 15Incarnate Word Cardinalsvs Incarnate Word CardinalsW 69-65
2
Dec 7North Texas Mean Green@ North Texas Mean GreenW 55-650
Dec 5Notre Dame Fighting Irishvs Notre Dame Fighting IrishL 85-87
3
Nov 28Wisconsin Badgersvs Wisconsin BadgersW 74-63
2
Nov 27Florida Gators@ Florida GatorsW 80-84
1
Nov 19Kansas City Roosvs Kansas City RoosW 81-45
1
Nov 14Michigan Wolverinesvs Michigan WolverinesL 63-67
2
Nov 10Lamar Cardinalsvs Lamar CardinalsW 78-65
1
Nov 6Saint Francis Red Flashvs Saint Francis Red FlashW 104-630
Drought-Influenced Losses
Close losses (≤15 pts) where droughts significantly impacted the outcome. "Defensive cost" = points allowed during drought periods.
BYU Cougars@ BYU CougarsL 70-76Jan 14
24 pts allowed during 3 droughts (31.6% of 6-pt margin)
Major Factor
Houston Cougarsvs Houston CougarsL 70-79Jan 28
20 pts allowed during 2 droughts (25.3% of 9-pt margin)
Major Factor
Kansas Jayhawks@ Kansas JayhawksL 73-78Mar 12
20 pts allowed during 2 droughts (25.6% of 5-pt margin)
Major Factor
Notre Dame Fighting Irishvs Notre Dame Fighting IrishL 85-87Dec 5
19 pts allowed during 3 droughts (21.8% of 2-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Michigan Wolverinesvs Michigan WolverinesL 63-67Nov 14
16 pts allowed during 2 droughts (23.9% of 4-pt margin)
Significant Factor
UCF Knights@ UCF KnightsL 71-82Feb 17
13 pts allowed during 2 droughts (15.9% of 11-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Kansas Jayhawks@ Kansas JayhawksL 100-104Jan 6
9 pts allowed during 1 drought (8.7% of 4-pt margin)
Minor Factor
Drought Killers
Players who most often ended TCU Horned Frogs scoring droughts this season.
1
DP
David Punch
30% clutchⓘ
10
2
JP
Jayden Pierre
50% clutchⓘ
8
3
MR
Micah Robinson
33% clutchⓘ
6
4
TT
Tanner Toolson
40% clutchⓘ
5
5
XE
Xavier Edmonds
0% clutchⓘ
5
6
LL
Liutauras Lelevicius
67% clutchⓘ
3
7
BH
Brock Harding
2
3PT
2PT
FT