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Northwestern Wildcats

Northwestern Wildcats

Big TenP4

2025-26 Drought Profile · 28 games played · 13-20 (39%)

Northwestern Wildcats ranks 9th of 18 Big Ten teams in droughts per game (1.79 dpg, above the Big Ten average of 1.76). Their droughts average 3:43 — 0:09 below the Big Ten norm — and have allowed opponents an average of 6.9 pts per drought, contributing to 13 influenced losses (2 decisive/major) this season.

Drought Profile

Droughts/Game

1.79

Conf avg: 1.8 · #9 of 18 in Big Ten

9th in Big Ten

+0.03/game vs Big Ten avg

#9 in Big Ten (18 teams)

Avg Duration

3:43

Conf avg: 231.9 · #3 of 18 in Big Ten

-0:09 vs Big Ten avg

How long cold streaks typically last

Avg Pts Allowed

6.9

Conf avg: 7.2 · #5 of 18 in Big Ten

-0.3 pts vs Big Ten avg

Opponent points scored per drought

Game Impact

Influenced Losses

13

2 decisive/major — close losses where droughts swung the margin

Timeout Rate

22%

Coach called a timeout in 11 of 50 droughts

Record w/ 2+ Droughts

4-11

vs 9-9 in games with 0–1 droughts

Drought Trend This Season
Droughts per game over the season with a 3-game rolling average. Season average: 1.8 droughts/game.
When Droughts Happen
Shows when droughts begin in each 2-minute window throughout the game. Counts total to 50 droughts. Dashed line shows the conference average.
Half Breakdown
1st half vs 2nd half: does this team adjust at halftime or get worse?
1st Half
28
droughts · avg 3:39
2nd Half
22
droughts · avg 3:49
Drought Cost by Severity
How damaging are each tier of drought? Longer droughts allow more opponent points — see if critical ones truly hurt more.
Notable (3–4 min)
37
74% of droughts
6.1 pts allowed
Significant (4–5 min)
7
14% of droughts
8.1 pts allowed
Critical (5+ min)
6
12% of droughts
11 pts allowed

Avg. opponent points scored during drought

Notable (3–4 min)
6.1 pts
Significant (4–5 min)
8.1 pts
Critical (5+ min)
11 pts

Key Takeaway

Critical droughts allow 80% more points than notable ones (11 vs 6.1 pts). Longer droughts cost significantly more.

Drought-Ending Shots
What shot finally breaks the cold streak? Zone intensity = frequency.
3-PT(28%)2-PT(56%)FT(16%)
3-Ptr (14, 28%)2-Ptr (28, 56%)FT (8, 16%)
Score Differential by Game
Every game plotted over 40 minutes — positive = team leading, negative = trailing. Hover a game in the sidebar to highlight its path through the season.
Mar 12
Purdue Boilermakers@ Purdue Boilermakers
L 68–81
Mar 11
Indiana Hoosiers@ Indiana Hoosiers
W 74–61
Mar 10
Penn State Nittany Lionsvs Penn State Nittany Lions
W 76–66
Mar 7
Minnesota Golden Gophers@ Minnesota Golden Gophers
L 66–67
Mar 4
Purdue Boilermakersvs Purdue Boilermakers
L 66–70
Feb 28
Oregon Ducksvs Oregon Ducks
W 55–53
Feb 24
Indiana Hoosiers@ Indiana Hoosiers
L 43–52
Feb 18
Maryland Terrapinsvs Maryland Terrapins
W 78–74
Feb 14
Nebraska Cornhuskers@ Nebraska Cornhuskers
L 49–68
Feb 11
Michigan Wolverinesvs Michigan Wolverines
L 75–87
Feb 8
Iowa Hawkeyes@ Iowa Hawkeyes
L 70–76
Feb 4
Illinois Fighting Illini@ Illinois Fighting Illini
L 44–84
Jan 31
Washington Huskiesvs Washington Huskies
L 62–76
Jan 29
Penn State Nittany Lionsvs Penn State Nittany Lions
W 94–73
Jan 24
UCLA Bruins@ UCLA Bruins
L 64–71
Jan 21
USC Trojans@ USC Trojans
W 74–68
Jan 17
Nebraska Cornhuskersvs Nebraska Cornhuskers
L 58–77
Jan 14
Illinois Fighting Illinivs Illinois Fighting Illini
L 68–79
Jan 11
Rutgers Scarlet Knights@ Rutgers Scarlet Knights
L 75–77
Jan 8
Michigan State Spartans@ Michigan State Spartans
L 66–76
Jan 3
Minnesota Golden Gophersvs Minnesota Golden Gophers
L 78–84
Dec 30
Howard Bisonvs Howard Bison
W 80–60
Dec 20
Butler Bulldogs@ Butler Bulldogs
L 58–61
Dec 16
Valparaiso Beaconsvs Valparaiso Beacons
W 86–70
Dec 13
Jackson State Tigersvs Jackson State Tigers
W 93–53
Dec 6
Ohio State Buckeyesvs Ohio State Buckeyes
L 82–86
Dec 3
Wisconsin Badgers@ Wisconsin Badgers
L 73–85
Nov 27
Oklahoma State Cowboysvs Oklahoma State Cowboys
L 81–86
Nov 23
South Carolina Gamecocksvs South Carolina Gamecocks
W 79–77
Nov 21
Virginia Cavaliers@ Virginia Cavaliers
L 78–83
Nov 14
DePaul Blue Demons@ DePaul Blue Demons
W 81–79
Nov 10
Cleveland State Vikingsvs Cleveland State Vikings
W 110–63
Nov 7
Boston University Terriersvs Boston University Terriers
W 76–52
← Opponent leading← Game time →Team leading →
Game Log
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
DateOpponentScore (H-A)Droughts
Mar 12Purdue Boilermakers@ Purdue BoilermakersL 81-68
2
Mar 11Indiana Hoosiers@ Indiana Hoosiers
2
Mar 10Penn State Nittany Lionsvs Penn State Nittany LionsW 76-66
1
Mar 7Minnesota Golden Gophers@ Minnesota Golden GophersL 67-66
2
Mar 4Purdue Boilermakersvs Purdue BoilermakersL 66-70
1
Feb 28Oregon Ducksvs Oregon DucksW 55-53
2
Feb 24Indiana Hoosiers@ Indiana HoosiersL 52-43
1
Feb 18Maryland Terrapinsvs Maryland TerrapinsW 78-74
1
Feb 14Nebraska Cornhuskers@ Nebraska CornhuskersL 68-49
3
Feb 11Michigan Wolverinesvs Michigan WolverinesL 75-87
1
Feb 8Iowa Hawkeyes@ Iowa HawkeyesL 76-70
2
Feb 4Illinois Fighting Illini@ Illinois Fighting IlliniL 84-44
5
Jan 31Washington Huskiesvs Washington HuskiesL 62-76
3
Jan 29Penn State Nittany Lionsvs Penn State Nittany LionsW 94-730
Jan 24UCLA Bruins@ UCLA BruinsL 71-64
3
Jan 21USC Trojans@ USC TrojansW 68-74
2
Jan 17Nebraska Cornhuskersvs Nebraska CornhuskersL 58-77
2
Jan 14Illinois Fighting Illinivs Illinois Fighting IlliniL 68-79
2
Jan 11Rutgers Scarlet Knights@ Rutgers Scarlet KnightsL 77-75
1
Jan 8Michigan State Spartans@ Michigan State SpartansL 76-66
2
Jan 3Minnesota Golden Gophersvs Minnesota Golden GophersL 78-84
1
Dec 30Howard Bisonvs Howard BisonW 80-60
2
Dec 20Butler Bulldogs@ Butler BulldogsL 61-58
3
Dec 16Valparaiso Beaconsvs Valparaiso BeaconsW 86-70
1
Dec 13Jackson State Tigersvs Jackson State TigersW 93-53
1
Dec 6Ohio State Buckeyesvs Ohio State BuckeyesL 82-86
1
Dec 3Wisconsin Badgers@ Wisconsin BadgersL 85-73
1
Nov 27Oklahoma State Cowboysvs Oklahoma State CowboysL 81-86
1
Nov 23South Carolina Gamecocksvs South Carolina GamecocksW 79-770
Nov 21Virginia Cavaliers@ Virginia CavaliersL 83-780
Nov 14DePaul Blue Demons@ DePaul Blue DemonsW 79-810
Nov 10Cleveland State Vikingsvs Cleveland State VikingsW 110-630
Nov 7Boston University Terriersvs Boston University TerriersW 76-52
1
Drought-Influenced Losses
Close losses (≤15 pts) where droughts significantly impacted the outcome. "Defensive cost" = points allowed during drought periods.
Washington Huskiesvs Washington HuskiesL 62-76Jan 31
19 pts allowed during 3 droughts (25% of 14-pt margin)
Major Factor
Purdue Boilermakers@ Purdue BoilermakersL 68-81Mar 12
18 pts allowed during 2 droughts (22.2% of 13-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Minnesota Golden Gophers@ Minnesota Golden GophersL 66-67Mar 7
17 pts allowed during 2 droughts (25.4% of 1-pt margin)
Major Factor
Iowa Hawkeyes@ Iowa HawkeyesL 70-76Feb 8
16 pts allowed during 2 droughts (21.1% of 6-pt margin)
Significant Factor
UCLA Bruins@ UCLA BruinsL 64-71Jan 24
15 pts allowed during 3 droughts (21.1% of 7-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Michigan State Spartans@ Michigan State SpartansL 66-76Jan 8
15 pts allowed during 2 droughts (19.7% of 10-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Butler Bulldogs@ Butler BulldogsL 58-61Dec 20
15 pts allowed during 3 droughts (24.6% of 3-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Illinois Fighting Illinivs Illinois Fighting IlliniL 68-79Jan 14
14 pts allowed during 2 droughts (17.7% of 11-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Wisconsin Badgers@ Wisconsin BadgersL 73-85Dec 3
11 pts allowed during 1 drought (12.9% of 12-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Oklahoma State Cowboysvs Oklahoma State CowboysL 81-86Nov 27
10 pts allowed during 1 drought (11.6% of 5-pt margin)
Minor Factor
Purdue Boilermakersvs Purdue BoilermakersL 66-70Mar 4
9 pts allowed during 1 drought (12.9% of 4-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Ohio State Buckeyesvs Ohio State BuckeyesL 82-86Dec 6
8 pts allowed during 1 drought (9.3% of 4-pt margin)
Minor Factor
Michigan Wolverinesvs Michigan WolverinesL 75-87Feb 11
8 pts allowed during 1 drought (9.2% of 12-pt margin)
Minor Factor
Drought Killers
Players who most often ended Northwestern Wildcats scoring droughts this season.
1
NM
Nick Martinelli
36% clutchⓘ
14
2
JR
Jayden Reid
22% clutchⓘ
9
3
AP
Arrinten Page
57% clutchⓘ
7
4
JW
Jake West
33% clutchⓘ
6
5
JC
Jordan Clayton
25% clutchⓘ
4
6
TS
Tre Singleton
0% clutchⓘ
4
7
KW
K.J. Windham
2
8
TK
Tyler Kropp
2
3PT
2PT
FT