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Marshall Thundering Herd

Marshall Thundering Herd

Sun BeltG5

2025-26 Drought Profile · 19 games played · 18-13 (58%)

Marshall Thundering Herd ranks 6th of 14 Sun Belt teams in droughts per game (1.74 dpg, below the Sun Belt average of 1.91). Their droughts average 4:00+0:05 above the Sun Belt norm — and have allowed opponents an average of 7.7 pts per drought, contributing to 5 influenced losses (1 decisive/major) this season.

Drought Profile

Droughts/Game

1.74

Conf avg: 1.9 · #6 of 14 in Sun Belt

6th in Sun Belt

-0.17/game vs Sun Belt avg

#6 in Sun Belt (14 teams)

Avg Duration

4:00

Conf avg: 234.8 · #12 of 14 in Sun Belt

+0:05 vs Sun Belt avg

How long cold streaks typically last

Avg Pts Allowed

7.7

Conf avg: 7.3 · #12 of 14 in Sun Belt

+0.4 pts vs Sun Belt avg

Opponent points scored per drought

Game Impact

Influenced Losses

5

1 decisive/major — close losses where droughts swung the margin

Timeout Rate

27%

Coach called a timeout in 9 of 33 droughts

Record w/ 2+ Droughts

6-5

vs 12-8 in games with 0–1 droughts

Drought Trend This Season
Droughts per game over the season with a 3-game rolling average. Season average: 1.7 droughts/game.
When Droughts Happen
Shows when droughts begin in each 2-minute window throughout the game. Counts total to 33 droughts. Dashed line shows the conference average.
Half Breakdown
1st half vs 2nd half: does this team adjust at halftime or get worse?
1st Half
21
droughts · avg 4:08
2nd Half
12
droughts · avg 3:46
Drought Cost by Severity
How damaging are each tier of drought? Longer droughts allow more opponent points — see if critical ones truly hurt more.
Notable (3–4 min)
21
64% of droughts
6.8 pts allowed
Significant (4–5 min)
6
18% of droughts
8.3 pts allowed
Critical (5+ min)
6
18% of droughts
10.2 pts allowed

Avg. opponent points scored during drought

Notable (3–4 min)
6.8 pts
Significant (4–5 min)
8.3 pts
Critical (5+ min)
10.2 pts

Key Takeaway

Critical droughts allow 50% more points than notable ones (10.2 vs 6.8 pts). Longer droughts cost significantly more.

Drought-Ending Shots
What shot finally breaks the cold streak? Zone intensity = frequency.
3-PT(30%)2-PT(52%)FT(18%)
3-Ptr (10, 30%)2-Ptr (17, 52%)FT (6, 18%)
Score Differential by Game
Every game plotted over 40 minutes — positive = team leading, negative = trailing. Hover a game in the sidebar to highlight its path through the season.
Mar 8
Georgia Southern Eaglesvs Georgia Southern Eagles
L 7882
Feb 27
Georgia Southern Eaglesvs Georgia Southern Eagles
L 8299
Feb 24
Old Dominion Monarchsvs Old Dominion Monarchs
W 6959
Feb 21
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers@ Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
L 7579
Feb 19
App State Mountaineers@ App State Mountaineers
W 9493
Feb 16
South Alabama Jaguarsvs South Alabama Jaguars
W 8480
Feb 14
Georgia Southern Eagles@ Georgia Southern Eagles
L 87101
Feb 11
Old Dominion Monarchs@ Old Dominion Monarchs
W 8179
Feb 7
Miami (OH) RedHawksvs Miami (OH) RedHawks
L 7490
Feb 4
Southern Miss Golden Eaglesvs Southern Miss Golden Eagles
W 8177
Jan 31
Arkansas State Red Wolves@ Arkansas State Red Wolves
W 7061
Jan 28
Texas State Bobcats@ Texas State Bobcats
L 6872
Jan 22
UL Monroe Warhawksvs UL Monroe Warhawks
W 11560
Jan 17
James Madison Dukesvs James Madison Dukes
W 7772
Jan 14
Coastal Carolina Chanticleersvs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
L 8385
Jan 10
Georgia State Panthers@ Georgia State Panthers
L 7381
Jan 7
James Madison Dukes@ James Madison Dukes
W 6664
Jan 3
App State Mountaineersvs App State Mountaineers
W 8881
Dec 31
Georgia State Panthersvs Georgia State Panthers
W 8480
Dec 23
vs WVU Tech Golden Bears
W 10252
Dec 20
Troy Trojans@ Troy Trojans
L 6370
Dec 13
Wright State Raidersvs Wright State Raiders
W 7674
Dec 10
Western Kentucky Hilltoppersvs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
W 7761
Dec 6
Ohio Bobcats@ Ohio Bobcats
L 8188
Dec 3
UNC Wilmington Seahawks@ UNC Wilmington Seahawks
L 6970
Nov 26
Lipscomb Bisonsvs Lipscomb Bisons
L 6790
Nov 23
Mercyhurst Lakersvs Mercyhurst Lakers
W 6960
Nov 20
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lionsvs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions
W 9870
Nov 15
Virginia Cavaliers@ Virginia Cavaliers
L 78104
Nov 12
Elon Phoenixvs Elon Phoenix
W 9689
Nov 8
Toledo Rockets@ Toledo Rockets
W 8573
← Opponent leading← Game time →Team leading →
Game Log
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
DateOpponentScore (H-A)Droughts
Mar 8Georgia Southern Eaglesvs Georgia Southern EaglesL 78-820
Feb 27Georgia Southern Eaglesvs Georgia Southern EaglesL 82-990
Feb 24Old Dominion Monarchsvs Old Dominion MonarchsW 69-590
Feb 21Coastal Carolina Chanticleers@ Coastal Carolina ChanticleersL 79-75
2
Feb 19App State Mountaineers@ App State MountaineersW 93-94
1
Feb 16South Alabama Jaguarsvs South Alabama JaguarsW 84-80
1
Feb 14Georgia Southern Eagles@ Georgia Southern EaglesL 101-87
1
Feb 11Old Dominion Monarchs@ Old Dominion MonarchsW 79-810
Feb 7Miami (OH) RedHawksvs Miami (OH) RedHawksL 74-90
1
Feb 4Southern Miss Golden Eaglesvs Southern Miss Golden EaglesW 81-770
Jan 31Arkansas State Red Wolves@ Arkansas State Red WolvesW 61-70
1
Jan 28Texas State Bobcats@ Texas State BobcatsL 72-68
1
Jan 22UL Monroe Warhawksvs UL Monroe WarhawksW 115-600
Jan 17James Madison Dukesvs James Madison DukesW 77-72
1
Jan 14Coastal Carolina Chanticleersvs Coastal Carolina ChanticleersL 83-85
1
Jan 10Georgia State Panthers@ Georgia State PanthersL 81-73
3
Jan 7James Madison Dukes@ James Madison DukesW 64-66
3
Jan 3App State Mountaineersvs App State MountaineersW 88-810
Dec 31Georgia State Panthersvs Georgia State PanthersW 84-80
2
Dec 23vs WVU Tech Golden BearsW 102-520
Dec 20Troy Trojans@ Troy TrojansL 70-63
2
Dec 13Wright State Raidersvs Wright State RaidersW 76-74
2
Dec 10Western Kentucky Hilltoppersvs Western Kentucky HilltoppersW 77-61
2
Dec 6Ohio Bobcats@ Ohio BobcatsL 88-810
Dec 3UNC Wilmington Seahawks@ UNC Wilmington SeahawksL 70-69
2
Nov 26Lipscomb Bisonsvs Lipscomb BisonsL 67-90
2
Nov 23Mercyhurst Lakersvs Mercyhurst LakersW 69-60
2
Nov 20Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lionsvs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden LionsW 98-700
Nov 15Virginia Cavaliers@ Virginia CavaliersL 104-780
Nov 12Elon Phoenixvs Elon PhoenixW 96-890
Nov 8Toledo Rockets@ Toledo RocketsW 73-85
3
Drought-Influenced Losses
Close losses (≤15 pts) where droughts significantly impacted the outcome. "Defensive cost" = points allowed during drought periods.
Troy Trojans@ Troy TrojansL 63-70Dec 20
25 pts allowed during 2 droughts (35.7% of 7-pt margin)
Major Factor
20 pts allowed during 3 droughts (24.7% of 8-pt margin)
Significant Factor
12 pts allowed during 2 droughts (15.2% of 4-pt margin)
Significant Factor
12 pts allowed during 2 droughts (17.1% of 1-pt margin)
Significant Factor
12 pts allowed during 1 drought (11.9% of 14-pt margin)
Minor Factor
Drought Killers
Players who most often ended Marshall Thundering Herd scoring droughts this season.
1
JS
Jalen Speer
71% clutch
7
2
WF
Wyatt Fricks
17% clutch
6
3
NO
Noah Otshudi
0% clutch
5
4
MK
Matt Van Komen
25% clutch
4
5
LJ
Landen Joseph
33% clutch
3
6
EH
Erich Harding
0% clutch
3
7
DF
Drew Fuquay
2
8
WD
Wilson Dubinsky
2
3PT
2PT
FT