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Liberty Flames

Liberty Flames

Conference USAG5

2025-26 Drought Profile · 25 games played · 24-7 (77%)

Liberty Flames ranks 7th of 12 Conference USA teams in droughts per game (1.84 dpg, below the Conference USA average of 1.88). Their droughts average 3:51near the Conference USA norm — and have allowed opponents an average of 7.4 pts per drought, contributing to 5 influenced losses (2 decisive/major) this season.

Drought Profile

Droughts/Game

1.84

Conf avg: 1.9 · #7 of 12 in Conference USA

7th in Conference USA

-0.04/game vs Conference USA avg

#7 in Conference USA (12 teams)

Avg Duration

3:51

Conf avg: 232.8 · #6 of 12 in Conference USA

-0:02 vs Conference USA avg

How long cold streaks typically last

Avg Pts Allowed

7.4

Conf avg: 7.1 · #10 of 12 in Conference USA

+0.3 pts vs Conference USA avg

Opponent points scored per drought

Game Impact

Influenced Losses

5

2 decisive/major — close losses where droughts swung the margin

Timeout Rate

13%

Coach called a timeout in 6 of 46 droughts

Record w/ 2+ Droughts

9-6

vs 15-1 in games with 0–1 droughts

Drought Trend This Season
Droughts per game over the season with a 3-game rolling average. Season average: 1.8 droughts/game.
When Droughts Happen
Shows when droughts begin in each 2-minute window throughout the game. Counts total to 46 droughts. Dashed line shows the conference average.
Half Breakdown
1st half vs 2nd half: does this team adjust at halftime or get worse?
1st Half
27
droughts · avg 3:52
2nd Half
19
droughts · avg 3:49
Drought Cost by Severity
How damaging are each tier of drought? Longer droughts allow more opponent points — see if critical ones truly hurt more.
Notable (3–4 min)
32
70% of droughts
6.4 pts allowed
Significant (4–5 min)
11
24% of droughts
9.6 pts allowed
Critical (5+ min)
3
7% of droughts
9.7 pts allowed

Avg. opponent points scored during drought

Notable (3–4 min)
6.4 pts
Significant (4–5 min)
9.6 pts
Critical (5+ min)
9.7 pts

Key Takeaway

Critical droughts allow 52% more points than notable ones (9.7 vs 6.4 pts). Longer droughts cost significantly more.

Drought-Ending Shots
What shot finally breaks the cold streak? Zone intensity = frequency.
3-PT(26%)2-PT(48%)FT(26%)
3-Ptr (12, 26%)2-Ptr (22, 48%)FT (12, 26%)
Score Differential by Game
Every game plotted over 40 minutes — positive = team leading, negative = trailing. Hover a game in the sidebar to highlight its path through the season.
Mar 11
Missouri State Bearsvs Missouri State Bears
L 6977
Mar 7
Sam Houston Bearkatsvs Sam Houston Bearkats
W 7972
Mar 5
Louisiana Tech Bulldogsvs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
L 7176
Feb 28
Jacksonville State Gamecocks@ Jacksonville State Gamecocks
W 8178
Feb 26
Kennesaw State Owls@ Kennesaw State Owls
L 6574
Feb 21
Western Kentucky Hilltoppersvs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
L 7394
Feb 19
Florida International Panthersvs Florida International Panthers
W 9089
Feb 14
UTEP Miners@ UTEP Miners
W 7364
Feb 11
New Mexico State Aggies@ New Mexico State Aggies
W 7775
Feb 7
Missouri State Bearsvs Missouri State Bears
W 7976
Feb 4
Delaware Blue Hens@ Delaware Blue Hens
W 7569
Jan 29
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders@ Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
W 8165
Jan 24
Delaware Blue Hensvs Delaware Blue Hens
W 6751
Jan 21
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers@ Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
W 7669
Jan 17
UTEP Minersvs UTEP Miners
W 8069
Jan 15
New Mexico State Aggiesvs New Mexico State Aggies
W 7371
Jan 10
Sam Houston Bearkats@ Sam Houston Bearkats
W 8274
Jan 8
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs@ Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
W 7256
Jan 4
Jacksonville State Gamecocksvs Jacksonville State Gamecocks
W 7869
Jan 2
Kennesaw State Owlsvs Kennesaw State Owls
W 8173
Dec 28
Florida International Panthers@ Florida International Panthers
W 9794
Dec 20
Dayton Flyers@ Dayton Flyers
W 6461
Dec 16
vs Midway University Eagles
W 9557
Dec 10
NC State Wolfpack@ NC State Wolfpack
L 4585
Dec 6
Coppin State Eaglesvs Coppin State Eagles
W 9250
Nov 26
Bradley Braves@ Bradley Braves
L 6474
Nov 25
Towson Tigersvs Towson Tigers
L 6972
Nov 24
Vermont Catamounts@ Vermont Catamounts
W 7973
Nov 17
vs Carolina University Bruins
W 9846
Nov 9
Florida Atlantic Owlsvs Florida Atlantic Owls
W 8868
Nov 7
Charleston Cougarsvs Charleston Cougars
W 9075
← Opponent leading← Game time →Team leading →
Game Log
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
DateOpponentScore (H-A)Droughts
Mar 11Missouri State Bearsvs Missouri State BearsL 69-77
3
Mar 7Sam Houston Bearkatsvs Sam Houston BearkatsW 79-72
1
Mar 5Louisiana Tech Bulldogsvs Louisiana Tech BulldogsL 71-76
2
Feb 28Jacksonville State Gamecocks@ Jacksonville State GamecocksW 78-81
2
Feb 26Kennesaw State Owls@ Kennesaw State OwlsL 74-65
2
Feb 21Western Kentucky Hilltoppersvs Western Kentucky HilltoppersL 73-940
Feb 19Florida International Panthersvs Florida International PanthersW 90-89
2
Feb 14UTEP Miners@ UTEP MinersW 64-73
1
Feb 11New Mexico State Aggies@ New Mexico State AggiesW 75-77
3
Feb 7Missouri State Bearsvs Missouri State BearsW 79-76
1
Feb 4Delaware Blue Hens@ Delaware Blue HensW 69-75
2
Jan 29Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders@ Middle Tennessee Blue RaidersW 65-810
Jan 24Delaware Blue Hensvs Delaware Blue HensW 67-51
1
Jan 21Western Kentucky Hilltoppers@ Western Kentucky HilltoppersW 69-76
2
Jan 17UTEP Minersvs UTEP MinersW 80-690
Jan 15New Mexico State Aggiesvs New Mexico State AggiesW 73-71
1
Jan 10Sam Houston Bearkats@ Sam Houston BearkatsW 74-82
1
Jan 8Louisiana Tech Bulldogs@ Louisiana Tech BulldogsW 56-72
3
Jan 4Jacksonville State Gamecocksvs Jacksonville State GamecocksW 78-69
2
Jan 2Kennesaw State Owlsvs Kennesaw State OwlsW 81-73
2
Dec 28Florida International Panthers@ Florida International PanthersW 94-970
Dec 20Dayton Flyers@ Dayton FlyersW 61-64
2
Dec 16vs Midway University EaglesW 95-570
Dec 10NC State Wolfpack@ NC State WolfpackL 85-45
4
Dec 6Coppin State Eaglesvs Coppin State EaglesW 92-50
1
Nov 26Bradley Braves@ Bradley BravesL 74-64
3
Nov 25Towson Tigersvs Towson TigersL 69-72
2
Nov 24Vermont Catamounts@ Vermont CatamountsW 73-79
1
Nov 17vs Carolina University BruinsW 98-460
Nov 9Florida Atlantic Owlsvs Florida Atlantic OwlsW 88-68
1
Nov 7Charleston Cougarsvs Charleston CougarsW 90-75
1
Drought-Influenced Losses
Close losses (≤15 pts) where droughts significantly impacted the outcome. "Defensive cost" = points allowed during drought periods.
27 pts allowed during 3 droughts (35.1% of 8-pt margin)
Major Factor
Bradley Braves@ Bradley BravesL 64-74Nov 26
26 pts allowed during 3 droughts (35.1% of 10-pt margin)
Major Factor
15 pts allowed during 2 droughts (20.3% of 9-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Towson Tigersvs Towson TigersL 69-72Nov 25
14 pts allowed during 2 droughts (19.4% of 3-pt margin)
Significant Factor
14 pts allowed during 2 droughts (18.4% of 5-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Drought Killers
Players who most often ended Liberty Flames scoring droughts this season.
1
JH
JJ Harper
42% clutch
12
2
CP
Colin Porter
33% clutch
9
3
BJ
Brett Decker Jr.
50% clutch
8
4
ZC
Zach Cleveland
67% clutch
6
5
KM
Kaden Metheny
25% clutch
4
6
JS
Josh Smith
25% clutch
4
3PT
2PT
FT