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Cal State Northridge Matadors

Cal State Northridge Matadors

Big WestOTHER

2025-26 Drought Profile · 26 games played · 19-14 (58%)

Cal State Northridge Matadors ranks 2nd of 11 Big West teams in droughts per game (1.50 dpg, below the Big West average of 1.77). Their droughts average 3:44 — 0:09 below the Big West norm — and have allowed opponents an average of 7.4 pts per drought, contributing to 5 influenced losses (1 decisive/major) this season.

Drought Profile

Droughts/Game

1.50

Conf avg: 1.7 · #2 of 11 in Big West

2nd in Big West

-0.27/game vs Big West avg

#2 in Big West (11 teams)

Avg Duration

3:44

Conf avg: 232.0 · #2 of 11 in Big West

-0:09 vs Big West avg

How long cold streaks typically last

Avg Pts Allowed

7.4

Conf avg: 7.3 · #7 of 11 in Big West

+0.1 pts vs Big West avg

Opponent points scored per drought

Game Impact

Influenced Losses

5

1 decisive/major — close losses where droughts swung the margin

Timeout Rate

31%

Coach called a timeout in 12 of 39 droughts

Record w/ 2+ Droughts

3-6

vs 16-8 in games with 0–1 droughts

Drought Trend This Season
Droughts per game over the season with a 3-game rolling average. Season average: 1.5 droughts/game.
When Droughts Happen
Shows when droughts begin in each 2-minute window throughout the game. Counts total to 39 droughts. Dashed line shows the conference average.
Half Breakdown
1st half vs 2nd half: does this team adjust at halftime or get worse?
1st Half
24
droughts · avg 3:46
2nd Half
15
droughts · avg 3:40
Drought Cost by Severity
How damaging are each tier of drought? Longer droughts allow more opponent points — see if critical ones truly hurt more.
Notable (3–4 min)
27
69% of droughts
6 pts allowed
Significant (4–5 min)
8
21% of droughts
8.3 pts allowed
Critical (5+ min)
4
10% of droughts
15.3 pts allowed

Avg. opponent points scored during drought

Notable (3–4 min)
6 pts
Significant (4–5 min)
8.3 pts
Critical (5+ min)
15.3 pts

Key Takeaway

Critical droughts allow 155% more points than notable ones (15.3 vs 6 pts). Longer droughts cost significantly more.

Drought-Ending Shots
What shot finally breaks the cold streak? Zone intensity = frequency.
3-PT(15%)2-PT(59%)FT(26%)
3-Ptr (6, 15%)2-Ptr (23, 59%)FT (10, 26%)
Score Differential by Game
Every game plotted over 40 minutes — positive = team leading, negative = trailing. Hover a game in the sidebar to highlight its path through the season.
Mar 13
UC Irvine Anteaters@ UC Irvine Anteaters
L 78–93
Mar 12
UC San Diego Tritonsvs UC San Diego Tritons
W 80–70
Mar 7
Cal State Fullerton Titansvs Cal State Fullerton Titans
L 77–90
Mar 5
Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners@ Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners
W 86–84
Feb 28
UC Riverside Highlanders@ UC Riverside Highlanders
L 84–95
Feb 26
UC Irvine Anteatersvs UC Irvine Anteaters
L 44–52
Feb 21
Long Beach State Beach@ Long Beach State Beach
W 78–76
Feb 19
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos@ UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
W 85–83
Feb 14
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriorsvs Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
W 84–60
Feb 7
UC Riverside Highlandersvs UC Riverside Highlanders
W 88–74
Feb 5
Cal Poly Mustangs@ Cal Poly Mustangs
W 97–96
Jan 31
UC San Diego Tritonsvs UC San Diego Tritons
W 81–64
Jan 29
UC Davis Aggiesvs UC Davis Aggies
W 94–78
Jan 24
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors@ Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
L 68–89
Jan 17
Long Beach State Beachvs Long Beach State Beach
L 80–87
Jan 15
UC San Diego Tritons@ UC San Diego Tritons
W 84–79
Jan 10
Cal State Fullerton Titans@ Cal State Fullerton Titans
L 79–86
Jan 8
Cal Poly Mustangsvs Cal Poly Mustangs
W 95–90
Jan 3
UC Santa Barbara Gauchosvs UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
W 74–65
Jan 1
UC Davis Aggies@ UC Davis Aggies
L 80–89
Dec 27
Stanford Cardinal@ Stanford Cardinal
L 80–88
Dec 22
Sacramento State Hornetsvs Sacramento State Hornets
W 100–88
Dec 19
vs La Sierra Golden Eagles
W 88–53
Dec 13
Delaware Blue Hens@ Delaware Blue Hens
W 88–66
Dec 10
Fresno State Bulldogsvs Fresno State Bulldogs
W 89–87
Dec 6
UC Irvine Anteaters@ UC Irvine Anteaters
L 71–85
Dec 4
Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunnersvs Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners
W 87–66
Nov 28
Idaho State Bengals@ Idaho State Bengals
L 50–82
Nov 26
Idaho Vandalsvs Idaho Vandals
L 64–78
Nov 16
Troy Trojansvs Troy Trojans
W 94–85
Nov 11
North Dakota State Bison@ North Dakota State Bison
L 68–90
Nov 9
North Dakota Fighting Hawks@ North Dakota Fighting Hawks
W 93–85
Nov 6
Northern Iowa Panthers@ Northern Iowa Panthers
L 57–86
← Opponent leading← Game time →Team leading →
Game Log
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
DateOpponentScore (H-A)Droughts
Mar 13UC Irvine Anteaters@ UC Irvine AnteatersL 93-78
1
Mar 12UC San Diego Tritonsvs UC San Diego TritonsW 80-70
1
Mar 7Cal State Fullerton Titansvs Cal State Fullerton TitansL 77-90
1
Mar 5Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners@ Cal State Bakersfield RoadrunnersW 84-860
Feb 28UC Riverside Highlanders@ UC Riverside HighlandersL 95-84
1
Feb 26UC Irvine Anteatersvs UC Irvine AnteatersL 44-52
2
Feb 21Long Beach State Beach@ Long Beach State BeachW 76-780
Feb 19UC Santa Barbara Gauchos@ UC Santa Barbara GauchosW 83-85
1
Feb 14Hawai'i Rainbow Warriorsvs Hawai'i Rainbow WarriorsW 84-60
1
Feb 7UC Riverside Highlandersvs UC Riverside HighlandersW 88-74
1
Feb 5Cal Poly Mustangs@ Cal Poly MustangsW 96-970
Jan 31UC San Diego Tritonsvs UC San Diego TritonsW 81-64
3
Jan 29UC Davis Aggiesvs UC Davis AggiesW 94-78
2
Jan 24Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors@ Hawai'i Rainbow WarriorsL 89-68
2
Jan 17Long Beach State Beachvs Long Beach State BeachL 80-87
1
Jan 15UC San Diego Tritons@ UC San Diego TritonsW 79-840
Jan 10Cal State Fullerton Titans@ Cal State Fullerton TitansL 86-79
1
Jan 8Cal Poly Mustangsvs Cal Poly MustangsW 95-90
1
Jan 3UC Santa Barbara Gauchosvs UC Santa Barbara GauchosW 74-65
3
Jan 1UC Davis Aggies@ UC Davis AggiesL 89-80
1
Dec 27Stanford Cardinal@ Stanford CardinalL 88-80
2
Dec 22Sacramento State Hornetsvs Sacramento State HornetsW 100-88
1
Dec 19vs La Sierra Golden EaglesW 88-530
Dec 13Delaware Blue Hens@ Delaware Blue HensW 66-88
1
Dec 10Fresno State Bulldogsvs Fresno State BulldogsW 89-870
Dec 6UC Irvine Anteaters@ UC Irvine AnteatersL 85-71
1
Dec 4Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunnersvs Cal State Bakersfield RoadrunnersW 87-66
1
Nov 28Idaho State Bengals@ Idaho State BengalsL 82-50
3
Nov 26Idaho Vandalsvs Idaho VandalsL 64-78
3
Nov 16Troy Trojansvs Troy TrojansW 94-85
1
Nov 11North Dakota State Bison@ North Dakota State BisonL 90-68
1
Nov 9North Dakota Fighting Hawks@ North Dakota Fighting HawksW 85-930
Nov 6Northern Iowa Panthers@ Northern Iowa PanthersL 86-57
2
Drought-Influenced Losses
Close losses (≤15 pts) where droughts significantly impacted the outcome. "Defensive cost" = points allowed during drought periods.
Idaho Vandalsvs Idaho VandalsL 64-78Nov 26
25 pts allowed during 3 droughts (32.1% of 14-pt margin)
Major Factor
Stanford Cardinal@ Stanford CardinalL 80-88Dec 27
19 pts allowed during 2 droughts (21.6% of 8-pt margin)
Significant Factor
UC Davis Aggies@ UC Davis AggiesL 80-89Jan 1
13 pts allowed during 1 drought (14.6% of 9-pt margin)
Significant Factor
UC Riverside Highlanders@ UC Riverside HighlandersL 84-95Feb 28
11 pts allowed during 1 drought (11.6% of 11-pt margin)
Minor Factor
UC Irvine Anteaters@ UC Irvine AnteatersL 78-93Mar 13
10 pts allowed during 1 drought (10.8% of 15-pt margin)
Minor Factor
Drought Killers
Players who most often ended Cal State Northridge Matadors scoring droughts this season.
1
JD
Josiah Davis
67% clutchⓘ
9
2
MF
Mahmoud Fofana
50% clutchⓘ
8
3
LI
Larry Hughes II
14% clutchⓘ
7
4
JO
Joshua O'Garro
20% clutchⓘ
5
5
JJ
James Evans Jr.
75% clutchⓘ
4
6
JB
Jordan Brinson
33% clutchⓘ
3
3PT
2PT
FT