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Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners

Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners

Big WestOTHER

2025-26 Drought Profile · 25 games played · 8-23 (26%)

Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners ranks 8th of 11 Big West teams in droughts per game (1.88 dpg, above the Big West average of 1.73). Their droughts average 3:50near the Big West norm — and have allowed opponents an average of 7.9 pts per drought, contributing to 9 influenced losses (3 decisive/major) this season.

Drought Profile

Droughts/Game

1.88

Conf avg: 1.7 · #8 of 11 in Big West

8th in Big West

+0.15/game vs Big West avg

#8 in Big West (11 teams)

Avg Duration

3:50

Conf avg: 232.0 · #5 of 11 in Big West

-0:02 vs Big West avg

How long cold streaks typically last

Avg Pts Allowed

7.9

Conf avg: 7.3 · #8 of 11 in Big West

+0.6 pts vs Big West avg

Opponent points scored per drought

Game Impact

Influenced Losses

9

3 decisive/major — close losses where droughts swung the margin

Timeout Rate

23%

Coach called a timeout in 11 of 47 droughts

Record w/ 2+ Droughts

2-12

vs 6-11 in games with 0–1 droughts

Drought Trend This Season
Droughts per game over the season with a 3-game rolling average. Season average: 1.9 droughts/game.
When Droughts Happen
Shows when droughts begin in each 2-minute window throughout the game. Counts total to 47 droughts. Dashed line shows the conference average.
Half Breakdown
1st half vs 2nd half: does this team adjust at halftime or get worse?
1st Half
36
droughts · avg 3:40
2nd Half
11
droughts · avg 4:22
Drought Cost by Severity
How damaging are each tier of drought? Longer droughts allow more opponent points — see if critical ones truly hurt more.
Notable (3–4 min)
33
70% of droughts
7.2 pts allowed
Significant (4–5 min)
10
21% of droughts
7.7 pts allowed
Critical (5+ min)
4
9% of droughts
14.3 pts allowed

Avg. opponent points scored during drought

Notable (3–4 min)
7.2 pts
Significant (4–5 min)
7.7 pts
Critical (5+ min)
14.3 pts

Key Takeaway

Critical droughts allow 99% more points than notable ones (14.3 vs 7.2 pts). Longer droughts cost significantly more.

Drought-Ending Shots
What shot finally breaks the cold streak? Zone intensity = frequency.
3-PT(15%)2-PT(55%)FT(30%)
3-Ptr (7, 15%)2-Ptr (26, 55%)FT (14, 30%)
Score Differential by Game
Every game plotted over 40 minutes — positive = team leading, negative = trailing. Hover a game in the sidebar to highlight its path through the season.
Mar 7
Cal Poly Mustangs@ Cal Poly Mustangs
L 76108
Mar 5
Cal State Northridge Matadorsvs Cal State Northridge Matadors
L 8486
Feb 28
Long Beach State Beachvs Long Beach State Beach
L 8788
Feb 26
UC San Diego Tritons@ UC San Diego Tritons
L 4958
Feb 21
Cal State Fullerton Titansvs Cal State Fullerton Titans
L 8088
Feb 19
UC Riverside Highlanders@ UC Riverside Highlanders
L 6593
Feb 12
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriorsvs Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
L 7489
Feb 7
Cal State Fullerton Titans@ Cal State Fullerton Titans
L 6682
Feb 5
UC Irvine Anteaters@ UC Irvine Anteaters
L 6278
Jan 31
UC Davis Aggiesvs UC Davis Aggies
L 7280
Jan 29
Cal Poly Mustangsvs Cal Poly Mustangs
L 79104
Jan 22
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors@ Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
L 7198
Jan 17
UC San Diego Tritonsvs UC San Diego Tritons
L 6283
Jan 15
UC Santa Barbara Gauchosvs UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
L 6975
Jan 10
Long Beach State Beach@ Long Beach State Beach
L 7581
Jan 8
UC Riverside Highlandersvs UC Riverside Highlanders
W 6766
Jan 3
UC Davis Aggies@ UC Davis Aggies
W 8179
Jan 1
UC Irvine Anteatersvs UC Irvine Anteaters
L 7781
Dec 23
Idaho Vandalsvs Idaho Vandals
W 6463
Dec 18
vs Nobel Knights
W 9766
Dec 13
Pepperdine Wavesvs Pepperdine Waves
L 6270
Dec 11
North Dakota State Bisonvs North Dakota State Bison
L 6980
Dec 6
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos@ UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
L 84109
Dec 4
Cal State Northridge Matadors@ Cal State Northridge Matadors
L 6687
Nov 30
Fresno State Bulldogs@ Fresno State Bulldogs
W 7671
Nov 25
Florida State Seminoles@ Florida State Seminoles
L 5989
Nov 22
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devilsvs Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils
W 8670
Nov 17
Portland State Vikings@ Portland State Vikings
L 8093
Nov 14
Ole Miss Rebels@ Ole Miss Rebels
L 6082
Nov 11
Western Illinois Leathernecksvs Western Illinois Leathernecks
W 7458
Nov 6
vs Whittier Poets
W 8361
← Opponent leading← Game time →Team leading →
Game Log
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
DateOpponentScore (H-A)Droughts
Mar 7Cal Poly Mustangs@ Cal Poly MustangsL 108-76
2
Mar 5Cal State Northridge Matadorsvs Cal State Northridge MatadorsL 84-86
1
Feb 28Long Beach State Beachvs Long Beach State BeachL 87-880
Feb 26UC San Diego Tritons@ UC San Diego TritonsL 58-49
2
Feb 21Cal State Fullerton Titansvs Cal State Fullerton TitansL 80-88
2
Feb 19UC Riverside Highlanders@ UC Riverside HighlandersL 93-65
2
Feb 12Hawai'i Rainbow Warriorsvs Hawai'i Rainbow WarriorsL 74-89
1
Feb 7Cal State Fullerton Titans@ Cal State Fullerton TitansL 82-66
3
Feb 5UC Irvine Anteaters@ UC Irvine AnteatersL 78-62
3
Jan 31UC Davis Aggiesvs UC Davis AggiesL 72-800
Jan 29Cal Poly Mustangsvs Cal Poly MustangsL 79-104
1
Jan 22Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors@ Hawai'i Rainbow WarriorsL 98-710
Jan 17UC San Diego Tritonsvs UC San Diego TritonsL 62-83
3
Jan 15UC Santa Barbara Gauchosvs UC Santa Barbara GauchosL 69-750
Jan 10Long Beach State Beach@ Long Beach State BeachL 81-75
3
Jan 8UC Riverside Highlandersvs UC Riverside HighlandersW 67-66
3
Jan 3UC Davis Aggies@ UC Davis AggiesW 79-81
1
Jan 1UC Irvine Anteatersvs UC Irvine AnteatersL 77-81
1
Dec 23Idaho Vandalsvs Idaho VandalsW 64-63
2
Dec 18vs Nobel KnightsW 97-660
Dec 13Pepperdine Wavesvs Pepperdine WavesL 62-70
3
Dec 11North Dakota State Bisonvs North Dakota State BisonL 69-80
1
Dec 6UC Santa Barbara Gauchos@ UC Santa Barbara GauchosL 109-84
1
Dec 4Cal State Northridge Matadors@ Cal State Northridge MatadorsL 87-66
1
Nov 30Fresno State Bulldogs@ Fresno State BulldogsW 71-76
1
Nov 25Florida State Seminoles@ Florida State SeminolesL 89-59
3
Nov 22Mississippi Valley State Delta Devilsvs Mississippi Valley State Delta DevilsW 86-70
1
Nov 17Portland State Vikings@ Portland State VikingsL 93-80
2
Nov 14Ole Miss Rebels@ Ole Miss RebelsL 82-60
3
Nov 11Western Illinois Leathernecksvs Western Illinois LeathernecksW 74-58
1
Nov 6vs Whittier PoetsW 83-610
Drought-Influenced Losses
Close losses (≤15 pts) where droughts significantly impacted the outcome. "Defensive cost" = points allowed during drought periods.
25 pts allowed during 3 droughts (30.9% of 6-pt margin)
Major Factor
20 pts allowed during 2 droughts (22.7% of 8-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Pepperdine Wavesvs Pepperdine WavesL 62-70Dec 13
19 pts allowed during 3 droughts (27.1% of 8-pt margin)
Major Factor
18 pts allowed during 2 droughts (31% of 9-pt margin)
Major Factor
13 pts allowed during 1 drought (16.3% of 11-pt margin)
Significant Factor
13 pts allowed during 1 drought (15.1% of 2-pt margin)
Significant Factor
11 pts allowed during 1 drought (13.6% of 4-pt margin)
Significant Factor
11 pts allowed during 2 droughts (11.8% of 13-pt margin)
Minor Factor
9 pts allowed during 1 drought (10.1% of 15-pt margin)
Minor Factor
Drought Killers
Players who most often ended Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners scoring droughts this season.
1
DS
Dailin Smith
10% clutch
10
2
CH
CJ Hardy
22% clutch
9
3
RJ
Ronald Jessamy
13% clutch
8
4
AG
AJ George
0% clutch
5
5
TM
Tom Mark
0% clutch
4
6
BW
Bentley Waller
33% clutch
3
7
KW
Kadar Waller
0% clutch
3
8
CM
Caleb McCarty
2
3PT
2PT
FT