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Saturday, March 14, 2026

Conference Game
Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

UMBC Retrievers

High confidence

3

est. droughts

3:37

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 22 pts ceded/game

Final Results

As predicted

Droughts

~33

+0

Pts Ceded

~2217

-5

Vermont Catamounts

High confidence

3

est. droughts

3:51

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 18 pts ceded/game

Final Results

Much better than predicted

Droughts

~31

-2

Pts Ceded

~184

-14

UMBC Retrievers averages 2 droughts/game  · Vermont Catamounts forces 2 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

4

Both teams combined

UMBC Retrievers Droughts

3

Vermont Catamounts Droughts

1

Longest Drought

4:11

UMBC Retrievers

Drought Point Swing

21

Total unanswered points during droughts

UMBC Retrievers Drought Impact

3 droughts17 unanswered points allowed

17.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Vermont Catamounts Drought Impact

1 drought4 unanswered points allowed

4.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline
All Droughts
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
UMBC Retrievers

UMBC Retrievers

3
2nd HalfsignificantTO called

Score: 4446 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Caden Diggs makes layup

2-Pointer

4:11

15.7 opp pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 23 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: DJ Armstrong Jr. makes free throw 2 of 3

Free Throw

3:20

12.2 opp pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 1012 · Opponent scored 3 pts

Ended by: Caden Diggs makes 10-foot step back jumpshot

2-Pointer

3:11

8.9 opp pts

Vermont Catamounts

Vermont Catamounts

1
1H → 2Hnotable

Score: 2830 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: TJ Hurley makes 21-foot jumper

2-Pointer

3:24

9.0 opp pts