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Friday, November 28, 2025

Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

Illinois State Redbirds

High confidence

3

est. droughts

3:50

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 23 pts ceded/game

Final Results

As predicted

Droughts

~33

+0

Pts Ceded

~2320

-3

Furman Paladins

High confidence

3

est. droughts

3:46

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 17 pts ceded/game

Final Results

Much better than predicted

Droughts

~31

-2

Pts Ceded

~173

-14

Illinois State Redbirds averages 2 droughts/game  · Furman Paladins forces 2 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

4

Both teams combined

Illinois State Redbirds Droughts

3

Furman Paladins Droughts

1

Longest Drought

4:58

Illinois State Redbirds

Drought Point Swing

23

Total unanswered points during droughts

Furman Paladins Drought Impact

1 drought3 unanswered points allowed

3.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

3 droughts20 unanswered points allowed

20.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline
All Droughts
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Illinois State Redbirds

Illinois State Redbirds

3
1H → 2Hsignificant

Score: 3335 · Opponent scored 10 pts

Ended by: Ty Pence made Layup. Assisted by Boden Skunberg.

2-Pointer

4:58

18.9 opp pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 1921 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Chase Walker made Layup.

2-Pointer

3:37

14.5 opp pts

2nd HalfnotableTO called

Score: 6566 · Opponent scored 2 pts

Ended by: Chase Walker made Free Throw.

Free Throw

3:22

8.1 opp pts

Furman Paladins

Furman Paladins

1
2nd Halfnotable

Score: 5860 · Opponent scored 3 pts

Ended by: Alex Wilkins made Jumper.

2-Pointer

3:36

8.8 opp pts