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Thursday, January 1, 2026

Conference Game
Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

Illinois State Redbirds

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:50

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 12 pts ceded/game

Final Results

As predicted

Droughts

~22

+0

Pts Ceded

~1213

+1

Evansville Purple Aces

High confidence

3

est. droughts

4:07

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 28 pts ceded/game

Final Results

As predicted

Droughts

~33

+0

Pts Ceded

~2831

+3

Illinois State Redbirds averages 2 droughts/game  · Evansville Purple Aces forces 1 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

5

Both teams combined

Illinois State Redbirds Droughts

2

Evansville Purple Aces Droughts

3

Longest Drought

8:48

Evansville Purple Aces

Drought Point Swing

44

Total unanswered points during droughts

Evansville Purple Aces Drought Impact

3 droughts31 unanswered points allowed

31.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

2 droughts13 unanswered points allowed

13.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline
All Droughts
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Illinois State Redbirds

Illinois State Redbirds

2
1H → 2Hnotable

Score: 4648 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Ty'Reek Coleman makes layup

2-Pointer

3:14

10.9 opp pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 7173 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Ty Blake makes layup

2-Pointer

3:12

13.8 opp pts

Evansville Purple Aces

Evansville Purple Aces

3
2nd Halfcritical

Score: 3537 · Opponent scored 15 pts

Ended by: Connor Turnbull makes layup

2-Pointer

8:48

25.3 opp pts

1st Halfsignificant

Score: 1920 · Opponent scored 12 pts

Ended by: Alex Hemenway makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

4:22

17.1 opp pts

1H → 2Hnotable

Score: 2829 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Joshua Hughes makes free throw 2 of 2

Free Throw

3:09

7.7 opp pts