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Wednesday, January 7, 2026

Conference Game
Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

Colgate Raiders

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:37

avg duration

6

pts/drought

est. 15 pts ceded/game

Final Results

~ Worse than predicted

Droughts

~23

+1

Pts Ceded

~1518

+3

American University Eagles

High confidence

2

est. droughts

4:00

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 14 pts ceded/game

Final Results

Predicted drought — none occurred

Droughts

~20

-2

Pts Ceded

~140

-14

Colgate Raiders averages 2 droughts/game  · American University Eagles forces 2 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

3

Both teams combined

Colgate Raiders Droughts

3

American University Eagles Droughts

0

Longest Drought

4:43

Colgate Raiders

Drought Point Swing

18

Total unanswered points during droughts

Colgate Raiders Drought Impact

3 droughts18 unanswered points allowed

18.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline
All Droughts
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Colgate Raiders

Colgate Raiders

3
1st Halfsignificant

Score: 2224 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Ben Tweedy makes layup (Josh Ahayere assists)

2-Pointer

4:43

15.5 opp pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 4648 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Sam Wright makes layup (Ben Tweedy assists)

2-Pointer

3:13

10.1 opp pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 1114 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Ethan Brown makes 24-foot three point jumper (Kyle Carlesimo assists)

3-Pointer

3:01

9.8 opp pts

American University Eagles

American University Eagles

0

No notable droughts