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Wednesday, February 18, 2026

Conference Game
Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

George Mason Patriots

High confidence

3

est. droughts

3:39

avg duration

6

pts/drought

est. 17 pts ceded/game

Final Results

Better than predicted

Droughts

~32

-1

Pts Ceded

~178

-9

Dayton Flyers

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:50

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 15 pts ceded/game

Final Results

Much better than predicted

Droughts

~21

-1

Pts Ceded

~154

-11

George Mason Patriots averages 2 droughts/game  · Dayton Flyers forces 2 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

3

Both teams combined

George Mason Patriots Droughts

2

Dayton Flyers Droughts

1

Longest Drought

4:00

Dayton Flyers

Drought Point Swing

12

Total unanswered points during droughts

Dayton Flyers Drought Impact

1 drought4 unanswered points allowed

4.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

George Mason Patriots Drought Impact

2 droughts8 unanswered points allowed

8.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline
All Droughts
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
George Mason Patriots

George Mason Patriots

2
1st Halfnotable

Score: 23 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Riley Allenspach makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:24

10.7 opp pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 4042 · Opponent scored 3 pts

Ended by: Dola Adebayo makes layup (Kory Mincy assists)

2-Pointer

3:05

8.2 opp pts

Dayton Flyers

Dayton Flyers

1
2nd Halfsignificant

Score: 5253 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Jordan Derkack makes free throw 2 of 2

Free Throw

4:00

12.2 opp pts