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Wednesday, February 11, 2026

Conference Game
Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

East Carolina Pirates

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:51

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 10 pts ceded/game

Final Results

Predicted drought — none occurred

Droughts

~10

-1

Pts Ceded

~100

-10

UTSA Roadrunners

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:60

avg duration

9

pts/drought

est. 18 pts ceded/game

Final Results

Much worse than predicted

Droughts

~24

+2

Pts Ceded

~1826

+8

East Carolina Pirates averages 2 droughts/game  · UTSA Roadrunners forces 1 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

4

Both teams combined

East Carolina Pirates Droughts

0

UTSA Roadrunners Droughts

4

Longest Drought

4:42

UTSA Roadrunners

Drought Point Swing

26

Total unanswered points during droughts

UTSA Roadrunners Drought Impact

4 droughts26 unanswered points allowed

26.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline
All Droughts
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
East Carolina Pirates

East Carolina Pirates

0

No notable droughts

UTSA Roadrunners

UTSA Roadrunners

4
1st Halfsignificant

Score: 1618 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Kaidon Rayfield makes 3-foot dunk (Brent Moss assists)

2-Pointer

4:42

16.5 opp pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 1316 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Kaidon Rayfield makes 24-foot three point jumper (Jamir Simpson assists)

3-Pointer

3:16

13.9 opp pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 5456 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Daniel Akitoby makes driving layup

2-Pointer

3:15

11.9 opp pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 4344 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Daniel Akitoby makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:01

9.4 opp pts