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Thursday, February 12, 2026

Conference Game
Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

Merrimack Warriors

High confidence

4

est. droughts

3:57

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 28 pts ceded/game

Final Results

Much better than predicted

Droughts

~42

-2

Pts Ceded

~2813

-15

Marist Red Foxes

High confidence

3

est. droughts

3:48

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 21 pts ceded/game

Final Results

~ Worse than predicted

Droughts

~34

+1

Pts Ceded

~2124

+3

Merrimack Warriors averages 2 droughts/game  · Marist Red Foxes forces 2 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

6

Both teams combined

Merrimack Warriors Droughts

2

Marist Red Foxes Droughts

4

Longest Drought

3:48

Merrimack Warriors

Drought Point Swing

37

Total unanswered points during droughts

Marist Red Foxes Drought Impact

4 droughts24 unanswered points allowed

24.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Merrimack Warriors Drought Impact

2 droughts13 unanswered points allowed

13.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline
All Droughts
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Merrimack Warriors

Merrimack Warriors

2
1st Halfnotable

Score: 1013 · Opponent scored 10 pts

Ended by: Ernest Shelton makes 24-foot three point jumper (Andrés Marrero assists)

3-Pointer

3:48

17.7 opp pts

1st HalfnotableTO called

Score: 1921 · Opponent scored 3 pts

Ended by: KC Ugwuakazi makes layup

2-Pointer

3:01

9.1 opp pts

Marist Red Foxes

Marist Red Foxes

4
2nd HalfnotableTO called

Score: 3234 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Jaden Daughtry makes layup

2-Pointer

3:40

12.1 opp pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 2223 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Jason Schofield makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:38

11.1 opp pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 2526 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Justin Menard makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:27

8.8 opp pts

1st HalfnotableTO called

Score: 2730 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Rhyjon Blackwell makes 25-foot three point jumper (Justin Menard assists)

3-Pointer

3:04

11.3 opp pts