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Tuesday, February 17, 2026

Conference Game
Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

Michigan State Spartans

High confidence

3

est. droughts

3:56

avg duration

6

pts/drought

est. 16 pts ceded/game

Final Results

As predicted

Droughts

~33

+0

Pts Ceded

~1613

-3

UCLA Bruins

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:49

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 16 pts ceded/game

Final Results

Much worse than predicted

Droughts

~22

+0

Pts Ceded

~1628

+12

Michigan State Spartans averages 2 droughts/game  · UCLA Bruins forces 2 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

5

Both teams combined

Michigan State Spartans Droughts

3

UCLA Bruins Droughts

2

Longest Drought

8:01

UCLA Bruins

Drought Point Swing

41

Total unanswered points during droughts

3 droughts13 unanswered points allowed

13.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

UCLA Bruins Drought Impact

2 droughts28 unanswered points allowed

28.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline
All Droughts
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Michigan State Spartans

Michigan State Spartans

3
2nd Halfsignificant

Score: 6466 · Opponent scored 0 pts

Ended by: Jaxon Kohler makes 8-foot hook shot (Kur Teng assists)

2-Pointer

4:12

8.6 opp pts

1H → 2Hnotable

Score: 4346 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Jeremy Fears Jr. makes 25-foot three point jumper (Jaxon Kohler assists)

3-Pointer

3:34

14.3 opp pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 8082 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Jesse McCulloch makes 9-foot jumper

2-Pointer

3:02

12.2 opp pts

UCLA Bruins

UCLA Bruins

2
1st HalfcriticalTO called

Score: 1214 · Opponent scored 18 pts

Ended by: Donovan Dent makes layup

2-Pointer

8:01

29.8 opp pts

2nd Halfcritical

Score: 4142 · Opponent scored 10 pts

Ended by: Steven Jamerson II makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

6:16

19.2 opp pts