Illinois Fighting Illini at Penn State Nittany Lions

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Saturday, January 3, 2026

Conference Game

Penn State Nittany Lions

Illinois Fighting Illini

Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

Penn State Nittany Lions

High confidence

est. droughts

4:02

avg duration

pts/drought

est. 28 pts ceded/game

Final Results

✓ Better than predicted

Droughts

~3→2

-1

Pts Ceded

~28→15

-13

Illinois Fighting Illini

High confidence

est. droughts

3:36

avg duration

pts/drought

est. 10 pts ceded/game

Final Results

~ Worse than predicted

Droughts

~1→2

Pts Ceded

~10→8

-2

Penn State Nittany Lions averages 2 droughts/game · Illinois Fighting Illini forces 2 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

Both teams combined

Penn State Nittany Lions Droughts

Illinois Fighting Illini Droughts

Longest Drought

4:01

Penn State Nittany Lions

Drought Point Swing

Total unanswered points during droughts

Illinois Fighting Illini Drought Impact

2 droughts • 8 unanswered points allowed

8.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Penn State Nittany Lions Drought Impact

2 droughts • 15 unanswered points allowed

15.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline

All Droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)

Penn State Nittany Lions

1st Halfsignificant

Score: 13 → 14 · Opponent scored 10 pts

Ended by: Ivan Juric makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

4:01

16.5 opp pts

1H → 2Hnotable

Score: 26 → 29 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Ivan Juric makes 25-foot three point jumper (Kayden Mingo assists)

3-Pointer

3:31

10.7 opp pts

Illinois Fighting Illini

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 48 → 51 · Opponent scored 2 pts

Ended by: Jake Davis makes 24-foot three point jumper (David Mirkovic assists)

3-Pointer

3:19

8.1 opp pts

2nd HalfnotableTO called

Score: 57 → 59 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Andrej Stojakovic makes driving layup

2-Pointer

3:16

12.0 opp pts