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Wednesday, February 18, 2026

Conference Game
Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

Utah State Aggies

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:44

avg duration

6

pts/drought

est. 12 pts ceded/game

Final Results

As predicted

Droughts

~22

+0

Pts Ceded

~129

-3

Boise State Broncos

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:48

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 16 pts ceded/game

Final Results

Much worse than predicted

Droughts

~23

+1

Pts Ceded

~1631

+15

Utah State Aggies averages 2 droughts/game  · Boise State Broncos forces 2 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

5

Both teams combined

Utah State Aggies Droughts

2

Boise State Broncos Droughts

3

Longest Drought

7:39

Boise State Broncos

Drought Point Swing

40

Total unanswered points during droughts

Boise State Broncos Drought Impact

3 droughts31 unanswered points allowed

31.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Utah State Aggies Drought Impact

2 droughts9 unanswered points allowed

9.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline
All Droughts
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Utah State Aggies

Utah State Aggies

2
1st Halfnotable

Score: 1416 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Adlan Elamin makes 4-foot dunk (Elijah Perryman assists)

2-Pointer

3:38

15.8 opp pts

1H → 2Hnotable

Score: 3033 · Opponent scored 0 pts

Ended by: Adlan Elamin makes 25-foot three point jumper (Zach Keller assists)

3-Pointer

3:05

5.8 opp pts

Boise State Broncos

Boise State Broncos

3
1H → 2Hcritical

Score: 2325 · Opponent scored 12 pts

Ended by: Drew Fielder makes 0-foot tip in layup

2-Pointer

7:39

22.7 opp pts

2nd HalfsignificantTO called

Score: 3536 · Opponent scored 10 pts

Ended by: Drew Fielder makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

4:51

16.8 opp pts

1st HalfnotableTO called

Score: 2123 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Dylan Andrews makes layup

2-Pointer

3:18

13.6 opp pts