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Saturday, January 17, 2026

Conference Game
Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

SMU Mustangs

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:41

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 16 pts ceded/game

Final Results

As predicted

Droughts

~22

+0

Pts Ceded

~169

-7

Virginia Cavaliers

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:59

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 10 pts ceded/game

Final Results

Predicted drought — none occurred

Droughts

~10

-1

Pts Ceded

~100

-10

SMU Mustangs averages 2 droughts/game  · Virginia Cavaliers forces 2 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

2

Both teams combined

SMU Mustangs Droughts

2

Virginia Cavaliers Droughts

0

Longest Drought

5:18

SMU Mustangs

Drought Point Swing

9

Total unanswered points during droughts

SMU Mustangs Drought Impact

2 droughts9 unanswered points allowed

9.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline
All Droughts
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
SMU Mustangs

SMU Mustangs

2
1st HalfcriticalTO called

Score: 2628 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Jaron Pierre Jr. makes 11-foot hook shot

2-Pointer

5:18

16.0 opp pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 5456 · Opponent scored 2 pts

Ended by: Jaden Toombs makes 0-foot tip in layup

2-Pointer

3:51

8.5 opp pts

Virginia Cavaliers

Virginia Cavaliers

0

No notable droughts