North Carolina Tar Heels at SMU Mustangs

Home

Saturday, January 3, 2026

Conference Game

SMU Mustangs

North Carolina Tar Heels

Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

SMU Mustangs

High confidence

est. droughts

3:41

avg duration

pts/drought

est. 15 pts ceded/game

Final Results

✗ Predicted drought — none occurred

Droughts

~2→0

-2

Pts Ceded

~15→0

-15

North Carolina Tar Heels

High confidence

est. droughts

3:41

avg duration

pts/drought

est. 13 pts ceded/game

Final Results

✓ As predicted

Droughts

~2→1

-1

Pts Ceded

~13→11

-2

SMU Mustangs averages 2 droughts/game · North Carolina Tar Heels forces 2 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

Both teams combined

SMU Mustangs Droughts

North Carolina Tar Heels Droughts

Longest Drought

4:25

North Carolina Tar Heels

Drought Point Swing

Total unanswered points during droughts

North Carolina Tar Heels Drought Impact

1 drought • 11 unanswered points allowed

11.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline

All Droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)

SMU Mustangs

No notable droughts

North Carolina Tar Heels

1st Halfsignificant

Score: 4 → 7 · Opponent scored 11 pts

Ended by: Derek Dixon makes 22-foot three point jumper (Seth Trimble assists)

3-Pointer

4:25

20.2 opp pts