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Saturday, January 3, 2026

Conference Game
NC State WolfpackNC State Wolfpack

61

vs
Virginia CavaliersVirginia Cavaliers

76

Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

NC State Wolfpack

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:49

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 18 pts ceded/game

Final Results

✓ Better than predicted

Droughts

~2→1

-1

Pts Ceded

~18→10

-8

Virginia Cavaliers

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:59

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 13 pts ceded/game

Final Results

✓ Better than predicted

Droughts

~2→1

-1

Pts Ceded

~13→10

-3

NC State Wolfpack averages 1 droughts/game  · Virginia Cavaliers forces 2 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

2

Both teams combined

NC State Wolfpack Droughts

1

Virginia Cavaliers Droughts

1

Longest Drought

4:12

Virginia Cavaliers

Drought Point Swing

20

Total unanswered points during droughts

NC State Wolfpack Drought Impact

1 drought • 10 unanswered points allowed

10.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Virginia Cavaliers Drought Impact

1 drought • 10 unanswered points allowed

10.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline
All Droughts
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
NC State Wolfpack

NC State Wolfpack

1
1st HalfnotableTO called

Score: 13 → 14 · Opponent scored 10 pts

Ended by: Paul McNeil Jr. makes free throw 3 of 3

Free Throw

3:19

15.1 opp pts

Virginia Cavaliers

Virginia Cavaliers

1
2nd Halfsignificant

Score: 74 → 76 · Opponent scored 10 pts

Ended by: Chance Mallory makes 10-foot jumper

2-Pointer

4:12

18.0 opp pts