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Tuesday, December 30, 2025

Conference Game
Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

North Carolina Tar Heels

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:41

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 16 pts ceded/game

Final Results

~ Worse than predicted

Droughts

~23

+1

Pts Ceded

~1618

+2

Florida State Seminoles

High confidence

3

est. droughts

3:42

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 19 pts ceded/game

Final Results

Better than predicted

Droughts

~32

-1

Pts Ceded

~1914

-5

North Carolina Tar Heels averages 2 droughts/game  · Florida State Seminoles forces 2 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

5

Both teams combined

North Carolina Tar Heels Droughts

3

Florida State Seminoles Droughts

2

Longest Drought

4:29

Florida State Seminoles

Drought Point Swing

32

Total unanswered points during droughts

2 droughts14 unanswered points allowed

14.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

3 droughts18 unanswered points allowed

18.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline
All Droughts
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
North Carolina Tar Heels

North Carolina Tar Heels

3
2nd Halfnotable

Score: 6265 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Kyan Evans makes 24-foot three point jumper (Caleb Wilson assists)

3-Pointer

3:55

13.7 opp pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 34 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Seth Trimble makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:13

11.4 opp pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 4446 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Caleb Wilson makes 2-foot dunk (Derek Dixon assists)

2-Pointer

3:05

13.1 opp pts

Florida State Seminoles

Florida State Seminoles

2
2nd HalfsignificantTO called

Score: 4648 · Opponent scored 11 pts

Ended by: Lajae Jones makes 11-foot jumper

2-Pointer

4:29

18.4 opp pts

1st Halfsignificant

Score: 25 · Opponent scored 3 pts

Ended by: Lajae Jones makes 23-foot three point step back jumpshot

3-Pointer

4:02

9.7 opp pts