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Saturday, January 31, 2026

Conference Game
Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

Chicago State Cougars

High confidence

2

est. droughts

4:11

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 18 pts ceded/game

Final Results

Much better than predicted

Droughts

~21

-1

Pts Ceded

~187

-11

Mercyhurst Lakers

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:53

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 14 pts ceded/game

Final Results

As predicted

Droughts

~22

+0

Pts Ceded

~1416

+2

Chicago State Cougars averages 2 droughts/game  · Mercyhurst Lakers forces 2 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

3

Both teams combined

Chicago State Cougars Droughts

1

Mercyhurst Lakers Droughts

2

Longest Drought

3:16

Mercyhurst Lakers

Drought Point Swing

23

Total unanswered points during droughts

Chicago State Cougars Drought Impact

1 drought7 unanswered points allowed

7.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Mercyhurst Lakers Drought Impact

2 droughts16 unanswered points allowed

16.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline
All Droughts
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Chicago State Cougars

Chicago State Cougars

1
1st Halfnotable

Score: 24 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: CJ Ray makes layup

2-Pointer

3:02

12.9 opp pts

Mercyhurst Lakers

Mercyhurst Lakers

2
1st Halfnotable

Score: 2426 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Jake Lemelman makes 16-foot pullup jump shot

2-Pointer

3:16

15.0 opp pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 1113 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Qadir Martin makes driving layup (Jake Lemelman assists)

2-Pointer

3:13

13.0 opp pts