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Monday, December 22, 2025

Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

North Carolina Tar Heels

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:41

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 13 pts ceded/game

Final Results

Predicted drought — none occurred

Droughts

~20

-2

Pts Ceded

~130

-13

East Carolina Pirates

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:51

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 18 pts ceded/game

Final Results

Much worse than predicted

Droughts

~24

+2

Pts Ceded

~1842

+24

North Carolina Tar Heels averages 2 droughts/game  · East Carolina Pirates forces 1 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

4

Both teams combined

North Carolina Tar Heels Droughts

0

East Carolina Pirates Droughts

4

Longest Drought

5:27

East Carolina Pirates

Drought Point Swing

42

Total unanswered points during droughts

East Carolina Pirates Drought Impact

4 droughts42 unanswered points allowed

42.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline
All Droughts
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
North Carolina Tar Heels

North Carolina Tar Heels

0

No notable droughts

East Carolina Pirates

East Carolina Pirates

4
1st Halfcritical

Score: 24 · Opponent scored 12 pts

Ended by: Luke Davis makes 17-foot jumper (Isaiah Mbeng assists)

2-Pointer

5:27

18.9 opp pts

2nd Halfsignificant

Score: 4649 · Opponent scored 14 pts

Ended by: Vito Perkovic makes 27-foot three point jumper (Isaiah Mbeng assists)

3-Pointer

4:45

20.1 opp pts

1H → 2Hsignificant

Score: 2628 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Giovanni Emejuru makes 1-foot dunk (Tybo Bailey assists)

2-Pointer

4:09

13.3 opp pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 2830 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Giovanni Emejuru makes layup (Isaiah Mbeng assists)

2-Pointer

3:33

12.5 opp pts