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Tuesday, November 18, 2025

North Carolina Tar HeelsNorth Carolina Tar Heels

73

vs
Navy MidshipmenNavy Midshipmen

61

Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

North Carolina Tar Heels

High confidence

3

est. droughts

3:41

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 22 pts ceded/game

Final Results

✓ Better than predicted

Droughts

~3→2

-1

Pts Ceded

~22→15

-7

Navy Midshipmen

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:44

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 15 pts ceded/game

Final Results

~ Worse than predicted

Droughts

~2→2

+0

Pts Ceded

~15→19

+4

North Carolina Tar Heels averages 2 droughts/game  · Navy Midshipmen forces 2 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

4

Both teams combined

North Carolina Tar Heels Droughts

2

Navy Midshipmen Droughts

2

Longest Drought

7:14

Navy Midshipmen

Drought Point Swing

34

Total unanswered points during droughts

Navy Midshipmen Drought Impact

2 droughts • 19 unanswered points allowed

19.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

North Carolina Tar Heels Drought Impact

2 droughts • 15 unanswered points allowed

15.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline
All Droughts
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
North Carolina Tar Heels

North Carolina Tar Heels

2
2nd Halfnotable

Score: 54 → 56 · Opponent scored 0 pts

Ended by: Caleb Wilson made Dunk. Assisted by Jarin Stevenson.

2-Pointer

3:42

6.8 opp pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 68 → 71 · Opponent scored 15 pts

Ended by: Jarin Stevenson made Three Point Jumper. Assisted by Kyan Evans.

3-Pointer

3:30

21.4 opp pts

Navy Midshipmen

Navy Midshipmen

2
2nd HalfcriticalTO called

Score: 40 → 42 · Opponent scored 11 pts

Ended by: Jinwoo Kim made Layup.

2-Pointer

7:14

22.0 opp pts

2nd HalfnotableTO called

Score: 35 → 38 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Jinwoo Kim made Three Point Jumper. Assisted by Austin Benigni.

3-Pointer

3:03

12.7 opp pts