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Saturday, December 6, 2025

Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

Michigan State Spartans

High confidence

3

est. droughts

3:56

avg duration

6

pts/drought

est. 20 pts ceded/game

Final Results

As predicted

Droughts

~33

+0

Pts Ceded

~2012

-8

Duke Blue Devils

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:25

avg duration

5

pts/drought

est. 11 pts ceded/game

Final Results

Much better than predicted

Droughts

~21

-1

Pts Ceded

~114

-7

Michigan State Spartans averages 2 droughts/game  · Duke Blue Devils forces 2 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

4

Both teams combined

Michigan State Spartans Droughts

3

Duke Blue Devils Droughts

1

Longest Drought

3:53

Michigan State Spartans

Drought Point Swing

16

Total unanswered points during droughts

Duke Blue Devils Drought Impact

1 drought4 unanswered points allowed

4.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

3 droughts12 unanswered points allowed

12.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline
All Droughts
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Michigan State Spartans

Michigan State Spartans

3
2nd Halfnotable

Score: 3637 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Coen Carr made Free Throw.

Free Throw

3:53

10.8 opp pts

2nd HalfnotableTO called

Score: 5354 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Jeremy Fears Jr. made Free Throw.

Free Throw

3:41

9.5 opp pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 5153 · Opponent scored 3 pts

Ended by: Carson Cooper made Dunk.

2-Pointer

3:26

8.2 opp pts

Duke Blue Devils

Duke Blue Devils

1
2nd Halfnotable

Score: 4849 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Caleb Foster made Free Throw.

Free Throw

3:25

9.6 opp pts