Merrimack Warriors at Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers

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Thursday, February 5, 2026

Conference Game

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers

Merrimack Warriors

Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers

High confidence

est. droughts

3:55

avg duration

pts/drought

est. 22 pts ceded/game

Final Results

✓ As predicted

Droughts

~3→1

-2

Pts Ceded

~22→23

Merrimack Warriors

High confidence

est. droughts

3:57

avg duration

pts/drought

est. 22 pts ceded/game

Final Results

✓ Much better than predicted

Droughts

~3→1

-2

Pts Ceded

~22→5

-17

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers averages 2 droughts/game · Merrimack Warriors forces 2 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

Both teams combined

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers Droughts

Merrimack Warriors Droughts

Longest Drought

7:17

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers

Drought Point Swing

Total unanswered points during droughts

Merrimack Warriors Drought Impact

1 drought • 5 unanswered points allowed

5.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers Drought Impact

1 drought • 23 unanswered points allowed

23.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline

All Droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers

1H → 2HcriticalTO called

Score: 40 → 41 · Opponent scored 23 pts

Ended by: Xavier Lipscomb makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

7:17

35.7 opp pts

Merrimack Warriors

1st HalfnotableTO called

Score: 21 → 24 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Ernest Shelton makes 26-foot three point jumper (Todd Brogna assists)

3-Pointer

3:05

11.7 opp pts