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Thursday, January 8, 2026

Conference Game
UMBC RetrieversUMBC Retrievers

69

vs
Maine Black BearsMaine Black Bears

62

Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

UMBC Retrievers

High confidence

3

est. droughts

3:37

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 20 pts ceded/game

Final Results

✗ Predicted drought — none occurred

Droughts

~3→0

-3

Pts Ceded

~20→0

-20

Maine Black Bears

High confidence

3

est. droughts

3:59

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 24 pts ceded/game

Final Results

✓ Better than predicted

Droughts

~3→2

-1

Pts Ceded

~24→13

-11

UMBC Retrievers averages 2 droughts/game  · Maine Black Bears forces 2 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

2

Both teams combined

UMBC Retrievers Droughts

0

Maine Black Bears Droughts

2

Longest Drought

5:56

Maine Black Bears

Drought Point Swing

13

Total unanswered points during droughts

Maine Black Bears Drought Impact

2 droughts • 13 unanswered points allowed

13.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline
All Droughts
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
UMBC Retrievers

UMBC Retrievers

0

No notable droughts

Maine Black Bears

Maine Black Bears

2
1H → 2Hcritical

Score: 20 → 22 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Ace Flagg makes layup

2-Pointer

5:56

18.2 opp pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 11 → 13 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Logan Carey makes layup

2-Pointer

3:10

8.9 opp pts