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Thursday, February 12, 2026

Conference Game
Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

UNC Wilmington Seahawks

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:56

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 10 pts ceded/game

Final Results

Much worse than predicted

Droughts

~13

+2

Pts Ceded

~1016

+6

Elon Phoenix

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:58

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 18 pts ceded/game

Final Results

As predicted

Droughts

~22

+0

Pts Ceded

~1812

-6

UNC Wilmington Seahawks averages 2 droughts/game  · Elon Phoenix forces 1 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

5

Both teams combined

UNC Wilmington Seahawks Droughts

3

Elon Phoenix Droughts

2

Longest Drought

5:04

Elon Phoenix

Drought Point Swing

28

Total unanswered points during droughts

Elon Phoenix Drought Impact

2 droughts12 unanswered points allowed

12.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

3 droughts16 unanswered points allowed

16.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline
All Droughts
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
UNC Wilmington Seahawks

UNC Wilmington Seahawks

3
2nd HalfnotableTO called

Score: 5457 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Christian May makes 25-foot three point jumper (Noah Ross assists)

3-Pointer

3:31

10.7 opp pts

1st HalfnotableTO called

Score: 1518 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Nolan Hodge makes 24-foot three point jumper (Noah Ross assists)

3-Pointer

3:28

10.6 opp pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 1013 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Nolan Hodge makes 26-foot three point jumper (Greedy Williams assists)

3-Pointer

3:08

11.1 opp pts

Elon Phoenix

Elon Phoenix

2
1H → 2Hcritical

Score: 2425 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Randall Pettus II makes free throw 2 of 2

Free Throw

5:04

13.8 opp pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 911 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Caleb Middleton makes 1-foot dunk (Iker Garmendia assists)

2-Pointer

3:57

10.3 opp pts