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Thursday, February 5, 2026

Conference Game
Chattanooga MocsChattanooga Mocs

79

vs
Mercer BearsMercer Bears

75

Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

Chattanooga Mocs

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:57

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 17 pts ceded/game

Final Results

✓ Better than predicted

Droughts

~2→1

-1

Pts Ceded

~17→10

-7

Mercer Bears

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:47

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 11 pts ceded/game

Final Results

✗ Predicted drought — none occurred

Droughts

~2→0

-2

Pts Ceded

~11→0

-11

Chattanooga Mocs averages 2 droughts/game  · Mercer Bears forces 1 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

1

Both teams combined

Chattanooga Mocs Droughts

1

Mercer Bears Droughts

0

Longest Drought

4:20

Chattanooga Mocs

Drought Point Swing

10

Total unanswered points during droughts

Chattanooga Mocs Drought Impact

1 drought • 10 unanswered points allowed

10.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline
All Droughts
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Chattanooga Mocs

Chattanooga Mocs

1
2nd HalfsignificantTO called

Score: 44 → 46 · Opponent scored 10 pts

Ended by: Tate Darner makes layup (Brennan Watkins assists)

2-Pointer

4:20

18.6 opp pts

Mercer Bears

Mercer Bears

0

No notable droughts