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Saturday, January 31, 2026

Conference Game
Mercer BearsMercer Bears

95

vs
VMI KeydetsVMI Keydets

81

Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

Mercer Bears

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:47

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 12 pts ceded/game

Final Results

✓ As predicted

Droughts

~2→1

-1

Pts Ceded

~12→11

-1

VMI Keydets

High confidence

2

est. droughts

4:02

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 17 pts ceded/game

Final Results

✓ Much better than predicted

Droughts

~2→1

-1

Pts Ceded

~17→6

-11

Mercer Bears averages 2 droughts/game  · VMI Keydets forces 1 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

2

Both teams combined

Mercer Bears Droughts

1

VMI Keydets Droughts

1

Longest Drought

3:43

VMI Keydets

Drought Point Swing

17

Total unanswered points during droughts

Mercer Bears Drought Impact

1 drought • 11 unanswered points allowed

11.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

VMI Keydets Drought Impact

1 drought • 6 unanswered points allowed

6.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline
All Droughts
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Mercer Bears

Mercer Bears

1
2nd Halfnotable

Score: 57 → 60 · Opponent scored 11 pts

Ended by: Zaire Williams makes 24-foot three point jumper (Tristan Gross assists)

3-Pointer

3:04

18.3 opp pts

VMI Keydets

VMI Keydets

1
1st HalfnotableTO called

Score: 30 → 32 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: AJ Clark makes 1-foot dunk (Tan Yildizoglu assists)

2-Pointer

3:43

13.5 opp pts