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Friday, January 23, 2026

Conference Game
Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

East Tennessee State Buccaneers

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:58

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 11 pts ceded/game

Final Results

Better than predicted

Droughts

~21

-1

Pts Ceded

~115

-6

The Citadel Bulldogs

High confidence

4

est. droughts

4:05

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 32 pts ceded/game

Final Results

As predicted

Droughts

~43

-1

Pts Ceded

~3237

+5

East Tennessee State Buccaneers averages 2 droughts/game  · The Citadel Bulldogs forces 1 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

4

Both teams combined

East Tennessee State Buccaneers Droughts

1

The Citadel Bulldogs Droughts

3

Longest Drought

6:49

The Citadel Bulldogs

Drought Point Swing

42

Total unanswered points during droughts

1 drought5 unanswered points allowed

5.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

The Citadel Bulldogs Drought Impact

3 droughts37 unanswered points allowed

37.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline
All Droughts
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
East Tennessee State Buccaneers

East Tennessee State Buccaneers

1
2nd Halfsignificant

Score: 5659 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Jaylen Smith makes 29-foot three point jumper

3-Pointer

4:07

13.6 opp pts

The Citadel Bulldogs

The Citadel Bulldogs

3
1st HalfcriticalTO called

Score: 68 · Opponent scored 19 pts

Ended by: Sola Adebisi makes driving layup

2-Pointer

6:49

28.4 opp pts

2nd HalfcriticalTO called

Score: 3538 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Logan Applegate makes 24-foot three point jumper (Christian Moore assists)

3-Pointer

5:36

14.7 opp pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 2425 · Opponent scored 11 pts

Ended by: Logan Applegate makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:37

16.0 opp pts