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Thursday, January 22, 2026

Conference Game
Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:41

avg duration

6

pts/drought

est. 10 pts ceded/game

Final Results

Predicted drought — none occurred

Droughts

~20

-2

Pts Ceded

~100

-10

Cal Poly Mustangs

High confidence

2

est. droughts

4:15

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 16 pts ceded/game

Final Results

~ Worse than predicted

Droughts

~22

+0

Pts Ceded

~1622

+6

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos averages 2 droughts/game  · Cal Poly Mustangs forces 1 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

2

Both teams combined

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos Droughts

0

Cal Poly Mustangs Droughts

2

Longest Drought

4:35

Cal Poly Mustangs

Drought Point Swing

22

Total unanswered points during droughts

Cal Poly Mustangs Drought Impact

2 droughts22 unanswered points allowed

22.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline
All Droughts
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos

0

No notable droughts

Cal Poly Mustangs

Cal Poly Mustangs

2
1st Halfsignificant

Score: 57 · Opponent scored 13 pts

Ended by: Jake Davis makes layup

2-Pointer

4:35

20.7 opp pts

2nd HalfnotableTO called

Score: 5255 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Aaron Price Jr. makes 26-foot three point jumper (Ali Assran assists)

3-Pointer

3:19

14.6 opp pts