Home

Saturday, February 7, 2026

Conference Game
Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

UC Davis Aggies

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:53

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 11 pts ceded/game

Final Results

As predicted

Droughts

~22

+0

Pts Ceded

~1113

+2

Cal Poly Mustangs

High confidence

2

est. droughts

4:15

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 13 pts ceded/game

Final Results

Much worse than predicted

Droughts

~23

+1

Pts Ceded

~1323

+10

UC Davis Aggies averages 2 droughts/game  · Cal Poly Mustangs forces 1 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

5

Both teams combined

UC Davis Aggies Droughts

2

Cal Poly Mustangs Droughts

3

Longest Drought

5:48

Cal Poly Mustangs

Drought Point Swing

36

Total unanswered points during droughts

Cal Poly Mustangs Drought Impact

3 droughts23 unanswered points allowed

23.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

UC Davis Aggies Drought Impact

2 droughts13 unanswered points allowed

13.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline
All Droughts
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
UC Davis Aggies

UC Davis Aggies

2
1st Halfcritical

Score: 67 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Marcus Wilson makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

5:32

16.3 opp pts

1st Halfcritical

Score: 1719 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Niko Rocak makes layup (Marcus Wilson assists)

2-Pointer

5:11

14.7 opp pts

Cal Poly Mustangs

Cal Poly Mustangs

3
1H → 2Hcritical

Score: 2225 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Cayden Ward makes 25-foot three point jumper

3-Pointer

5:48

14.4 opp pts

2nd HalfcriticalTO called

Score: 5455 · Opponent scored 11 pts

Ended by: Peter Bandelj makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

5:06

18.4 opp pts

1st HalfsignificantTO called

Score: 36 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Jess Esso Essis makes 27-foot three point jumper (Peter Bandelj assists)

3-Pointer

4:33

12.6 opp pts