UC Davis Aggies at Cal Poly Mustangs

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Saturday, January 10, 2026

Conference Game

Cal Poly Mustangs

UC Davis Aggies

Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

Cal Poly Mustangs

High confidence

est. droughts

4:15

avg duration

pts/drought

est. 13 pts ceded/game

Final Results

✗ Predicted drought — none occurred

Droughts

~2→0

-2

Pts Ceded

~13→0

-13

UC Davis Aggies

High confidence

est. droughts

3:53

avg duration

pts/drought

est. 11 pts ceded/game

Final Results

✓ As predicted

Droughts

~2→2

Pts Ceded

~11→13

Cal Poly Mustangs averages 2 droughts/game · UC Davis Aggies forces 1 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

Both teams combined

Cal Poly Mustangs Droughts

UC Davis Aggies Droughts

Longest Drought

3:16

UC Davis Aggies

Drought Point Swing

Total unanswered points during droughts

UC Davis Aggies Drought Impact

2 droughts • 13 unanswered points allowed

13.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline

All Droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)

Cal Poly Mustangs

No notable droughts

UC Davis Aggies

1st Halfnotable

Score: 22 → 23 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Brayden Fagbemi makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:16

12.4 opp pts

1H → 2Hnotable

Score: 40 → 43 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Marcus Wilson makes 24-foot three point jumper (Isaiah Chappell assists)

3-Pointer

3:05

13.0 opp pts