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Thursday, January 8, 2026

Conference Game
UC Santa Barbara GauchosUC Santa Barbara Gauchos

86

vs
UC Davis AggiesUC Davis Aggies

93

Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:41

avg duration

6

pts/drought

est. 11 pts ceded/game

Final Results

~ Worse than predicted

Droughts

~2→1

-1

Pts Ceded

~11→15

+4

UC Davis Aggies

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:53

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 15 pts ceded/game

Final Results

✓ As predicted

Droughts

~2→1

-1

Pts Ceded

~15→17

+2

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos averages 2 droughts/game  · UC Davis Aggies forces 1 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

2

Both teams combined

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos Droughts

1

UC Davis Aggies Droughts

1

Longest Drought

5:33

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos

Drought Point Swing

32

Total unanswered points during droughts

UC Davis Aggies Drought Impact

1 drought • 17 unanswered points allowed

17.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos Drought Impact

1 drought • 15 unanswered points allowed

15.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline
All Droughts
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos

1
1H → 2Hcritical

Score: 47 → 49 · Opponent scored 15 pts

Ended by: Colin Smith makes layup (Miro Little assists)

2-Pointer

5:33

26.9 opp pts

UC Davis Aggies

UC Davis Aggies

1
1st Halfcritical

Score: 4 → 7 · Opponent scored 17 pts

Ended by: Isaiah Chappell makes 26-foot three point jumper

3-Pointer

5:05

28.8 opp pts