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Saturday, February 28, 2026

Conference Game
Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

UC San Diego Tritons

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:55

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 8 pts ceded/game

Final Results

Much worse than predicted

Droughts

~12

+1

Pts Ceded

~86

-2

Cal Poly Mustangs

High confidence

2

est. droughts

4:15

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 21 pts ceded/game

Final Results

As predicted

Droughts

~22

+0

Pts Ceded

~2117

-4

UC San Diego Tritons averages 1 droughts/game  · Cal Poly Mustangs forces 1 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

4

Both teams combined

UC San Diego Tritons Droughts

2

Cal Poly Mustangs Droughts

2

Longest Drought

8:02

Cal Poly Mustangs

Drought Point Swing

23

Total unanswered points during droughts

Cal Poly Mustangs Drought Impact

2 droughts17 unanswered points allowed

17.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

UC San Diego Tritons Drought Impact

2 droughts6 unanswered points allowed

6.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline
All Droughts
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
UC San Diego Tritons

UC San Diego Tritons

2
1H → 2Hnotable

Score: 4244 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Emanuel Prospere II makes layup

2-Pointer

3:40

13.3 opp pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 1618 · Opponent scored 0 pts

Ended by: Jaden Vance makes driving layup (Bol Dengdit assists)

2-Pointer

3:14

6.5 opp pts

Cal Poly Mustangs

Cal Poly Mustangs

2
1st Halfcritical

Score: 1417 · Opponent scored 13 pts

Ended by: Hamad Mousa makes 30-foot three point jumper (Cayden Ward assists)

3-Pointer

8:02

25.9 opp pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 3032 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Hamad Mousa makes 4-foot floating jump shot

2-Pointer

3:21

9.4 opp pts