Home

Thursday, January 1, 2026

Conference Game
Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

Cal Poly Mustangs

High confidence

2

est. droughts

4:15

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 21 pts ceded/game

Final Results

As predicted

Droughts

~22

+0

Pts Ceded

~219

-12

UC San Diego Tritons

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:55

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 8 pts ceded/game

Final Results

Much worse than predicted

Droughts

~12

+1

Pts Ceded

~89

+1

Cal Poly Mustangs averages 2 droughts/game  · UC San Diego Tritons forces 2 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

4

Both teams combined

Cal Poly Mustangs Droughts

2

UC San Diego Tritons Droughts

2

Longest Drought

4:04

UC San Diego Tritons

Drought Point Swing

18

Total unanswered points during droughts

Cal Poly Mustangs Drought Impact

2 droughts9 unanswered points allowed

9.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

UC San Diego Tritons Drought Impact

2 droughts9 unanswered points allowed

9.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline
All Droughts
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Cal Poly Mustangs

Cal Poly Mustangs

2
2nd Halfsignificant

Score: 5053 · Opponent scored 3 pts

Ended by: Peter Bandelj makes 27-foot three point jumper

3-Pointer

4:00

9.7 opp pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 2326 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Guzman Vasilic makes 29-foot three point jumper (Ali Assran assists)

3-Pointer

3:27

11.8 opp pts

UC San Diego Tritons

UC San Diego Tritons

2
2nd Halfsignificant

Score: 5659 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Alex Chaikin makes 26-foot three point jumper (Hudson Mayes assists)

3-Pointer

4:04

11.6 opp pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 4447 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Alex Chaikin makes 24-foot three point jumper (Emanuel Prospere II assists)

3-Pointer

3:01

8.9 opp pts