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Monday, January 12, 2026

Conference Game
Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:48

avg duration

6

pts/drought

est. 12 pts ceded/game

Final Results

As predicted

Droughts

~22

+0

Pts Ceded

~127

-5

Incarnate Word Cardinals

High confidence

3

est. droughts

3:51

avg duration

6

pts/drought

est. 21 pts ceded/game

Final Results

Much worse than predicted

Droughts

~35

+2

Pts Ceded

~2128

+7

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks averages 2 droughts/game  · Incarnate Word Cardinals forces 2 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

7

Both teams combined

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks Droughts

2

Incarnate Word Cardinals Droughts

5

Longest Drought

5:10

Incarnate Word Cardinals

Drought Point Swing

35

Total unanswered points during droughts

5 droughts28 unanswered points allowed

28.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

2 droughts7 unanswered points allowed

7.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline
All Droughts
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks

2
1st Halfsignificant

Score: 68 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Keon Thompson makes layup

2-Pointer

4:25

10.2 opp pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 1719 · Opponent scored 3 pts

Ended by: Gediminas Alisas makes layup

2-Pointer

3:00

7.2 opp pts

Incarnate Word Cardinals

Incarnate Word Cardinals

5
1st Halfcritical

Score: 1012 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Jordan Pyke makes layup

2-Pointer

5:10

14.9 opp pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 2123 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Davion Bailey makes driving layup (Lewis Rowe assists)

2-Pointer

3:58

9.6 opp pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 46 · Opponent scored 2 pts

Ended by: Lewis Rowe makes layup (Tahj Staveskie assists)

2-Pointer

3:50

6.4 opp pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 2325 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Harold Woods makes layup (Davion Bailey assists)

2-Pointer

3:29

9.0 opp pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 4446 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Lewis Rowe makes layup (Love Bettis assists)

2-Pointer

3:09

10.6 opp pts