Home

Monday, February 23, 2026

Conference Game
Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

Northwestern State Demons

High confidence

3

est. droughts

4:00

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 21 pts ceded/game

Final Results

As predicted

Droughts

~33

+0

Pts Ceded

~2123

+2

Incarnate Word Cardinals

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:51

avg duration

6

pts/drought

est. 13 pts ceded/game

Final Results

Much better than predicted

Droughts

~21

-1

Pts Ceded

~134

-9

Northwestern State Demons averages 2 droughts/game  · Incarnate Word Cardinals forces 2 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

4

Both teams combined

Northwestern State Demons Droughts

3

Incarnate Word Cardinals Droughts

1

Longest Drought

4:58

Northwestern State Demons

Drought Point Swing

27

Total unanswered points during droughts

1 drought4 unanswered points allowed

4.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

3 droughts23 unanswered points allowed

23.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline
All Droughts
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Northwestern State Demons

Northwestern State Demons

3
1H → 2Hsignificant

Score: 1820 · Opponent scored 12 pts

Ended by: Willie Williams makes layup (CJ Larry assists)

2-Pointer

4:58

18.7 opp pts

1st Halfsignificant

Score: 911 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Willie Williams makes 4-foot hook shot

2-Pointer

4:37

12.2 opp pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 5051 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Micah Thomas makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:19

9.5 opp pts

Incarnate Word Cardinals

Incarnate Word Cardinals

1
2nd Halfsignificant

Score: 4244 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Harold Woods makes layup (Davion Bailey assists)

2-Pointer

4:27

9.5 opp pts