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Wednesday, February 4, 2026

Conference Game
Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

App State Mountaineers

High confidence

4

est. droughts

3:58

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 30 pts ceded/game

Final Results

Better than predicted

Droughts

~43

-1

Pts Ceded

~3012

-18

South Alabama Jaguars

High confidence

4

est. droughts

3:57

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 25 pts ceded/game

Final Results

Better than predicted

Droughts

~42

-2

Pts Ceded

~2513

-12

App State Mountaineers averages 2 droughts/game  · South Alabama Jaguars forces 2 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

5

Both teams combined

App State Mountaineers Droughts

3

South Alabama Jaguars Droughts

2

Longest Drought

5:46

App State Mountaineers

Drought Point Swing

25

Total unanswered points during droughts

App State Mountaineers Drought Impact

3 droughts12 unanswered points allowed

12.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

South Alabama Jaguars Drought Impact

2 droughts13 unanswered points allowed

13.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline
All Droughts
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
App State Mountaineers

App State Mountaineers

3
2nd Halfcritical

Score: 3437 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Jalen Tot makes 27-foot three point jumper (Kasen Jennings assists)

3-Pointer

5:46

17.4 opp pts

1H → 2Hnotable

Score: 2931 · Opponent scored 2 pts

Ended by: Luke Wilson makes 1-foot dunk (Alonzo Dodd assists)

2-Pointer

3:17

7.3 opp pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 1516 · Opponent scored 2 pts

Ended by: Alonzo Dodd makes free throw 2 of 2

Free Throw

3:15

7.3 opp pts

South Alabama Jaguars

South Alabama Jaguars

2
1st HalfcriticalTO called

Score: 2123 · Opponent scored 10 pts

Ended by: JJ Wheat makes layup

2-Pointer

5:01

17.1 opp pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 1315 · Opponent scored 3 pts

Ended by: Chaze Harris makes layup

2-Pointer

3:31

8.0 opp pts