Arkansas State Red Wolves at Troy Trojans

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Saturday, January 17, 2026

Conference Game

Troy Trojans

Arkansas State Red Wolves

Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

Troy Trojans

High confidence

est. droughts

3:58

avg duration

pts/drought

est. 14 pts ceded/game

Final Results

✗ Predicted drought — none occurred

Droughts

~2→0

-2

Pts Ceded

~14→0

-14

Arkansas State Red Wolves

High confidence

est. droughts

3:40

avg duration

pts/drought

est. 15 pts ceded/game

Final Results

✓ Better than predicted

Droughts

~2→1

-1

Pts Ceded

~15→11

-4

Troy Trojans averages 2 droughts/game · Arkansas State Red Wolves forces 1 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

Both teams combined

Troy Trojans Droughts

Arkansas State Red Wolves Droughts

Longest Drought

5:52

Arkansas State Red Wolves

Drought Point Swing

Total unanswered points during droughts

Arkansas State Red Wolves Drought Impact

1 drought • 11 unanswered points allowed

11.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline

All Droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)

Troy Trojans

No notable droughts

Arkansas State Red Wolves

1st HalfcriticalTO called

Score: 13 → 16 · Opponent scored 11 pts

Ended by: Christian Harmon makes 31-foot three point jumper (Matt Hayman assists)

3-Pointer

5:52

21.9 opp pts