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Saturday, January 3, 2026

Conference Game
Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

Arkansas State Red Wolves

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:40

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 12 pts ceded/game

Final Results

Much worse than predicted

Droughts

~22

+0

Pts Ceded

~1225

+13

James Madison Dukes

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:56

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 16 pts ceded/game

Final Results

Much better than predicted

Droughts

~21

-1

Pts Ceded

~168

-8

Arkansas State Red Wolves averages 2 droughts/game  · James Madison Dukes forces 1 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

3

Both teams combined

Arkansas State Red Wolves Droughts

2

James Madison Dukes Droughts

1

Longest Drought

4:31

James Madison Dukes

Drought Point Swing

33

Total unanswered points during droughts

2 droughts25 unanswered points allowed

25.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

James Madison Dukes Drought Impact

1 drought8 unanswered points allowed

8.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline
All Droughts
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Arkansas State Red Wolves

Arkansas State Red Wolves

2
2nd Halfsignificant

Score: 5052 · Opponent scored 14 pts

Ended by: Jaxon Ellingsworth makes 7-foot jumper

2-Pointer

4:11

21.7 opp pts

1st HalfnotableTO called

Score: 2325 · Opponent scored 11 pts

Ended by: Chandler Jackson makes driving layup

2-Pointer

3:13

17.0 opp pts

James Madison Dukes

James Madison Dukes

1
1st Halfsignificant

Score: 911 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Preston Fowler makes 11-foot turnaround jump shot

2-Pointer

4:31

16.8 opp pts